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Allsvenskan

Referee: M Al Hakim

Varnamo

T U T U

2–0

Full-time

Degerfors

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Degerfors

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

This season — Allsvenskan · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,5

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

17 Shots 19

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 10

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 7

0 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 14. · Degerfors 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Goteborg	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Mjallby	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	AIK	5	3	0	2	-2	9
5	Malmo FF	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Hacken	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Djurgarden	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Varberg	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Sirius	4	2	1	1	-1	7
10	Kalmar	4	2	0	2	+3	6
11	Elfsborg	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Helsingborg	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Sundsvall	4	1	0	3	-6	3
14	Varnamo	4	0	2	2	-4	2
15	Norrkoping	4	0	1	3	-3	1
16	Degerfors	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AIK	3	3	0	0	+3	9
2	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Goteborg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Helsingborg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Varberg	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Elfsborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Hacken	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Sundsvall	2	1	0	1	-3	3
14	Varnamo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Norrkoping	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Degerfors	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Hacken	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Mjallby	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Varberg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Elfsborg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	Djurgarden	3	0	1	2	-2	1
10	Sirius	2	0	1	1	-3	1
11	Norrkoping	2	0	0	2	-2	0
12	Helsingborg	2	0	0	2	-2	0
13	Sundsvall	2	0	0	2	-3	0
14	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-4	0
15	Degerfors	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	AIK	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.