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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Mota
Boavista
U T S S T
0–3
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 49%
20%
77%
Points per game
1,1
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 55%
67%
43%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,1
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 5
7 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boavista 12. · Sp Lisbon 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 31 26 4 1 +59 82
2 Sp Lisbon 30 23 4 3 +39 73
3 Benfica 31 21 5 5 +46 68
4 Sp Braga 31 17 8 6 +20 59
5 Gil Vicente 31 12 12 7 +10 48
6 Guimaraes 31 12 7 12 +4 43
7 Maritimo 31 9 10 12 -3 37
8 Pacos Ferreira 31 9 10 12 -11 37
9 Estoril 31 8 12 11 -4 36
10 Santa Clara 31 8 12 11 -14 36
11 Portimonense 31 9 8 14 -13 35
12 Boavista 30 6 15 9 -11 33
13 Vizela 31 7 11 13 -16 32
14 Famalicao 31 6 12 13 -10 30
15 Arouca 31 6 9 16 -24 27
16 Moreirense 31 6 8 17 -19 26
17 Tondela 31 7 5 19 -23 26
18 Belenenses 31 5 10 16 -30 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Sp Lisbon
Kenji Gorré 🟨
23′
35′
🟨 Luís Neto
37′
Matheus Nunes 0–1
Pote
Half-time 0–1
57′
🔁 M. Ugarte
↦ Matheus Nunes
58′
R. Abascal 1–1
own goal
Y. Njie 🔁
↦ Nathan
60′
68′
🔁 Bruno Tabata
↦ Pote
68′
🔁 Rúben Vinagre
↦ Nuno Santos
Tomás Reymão 🔁
↦ I. Vukotić
69′
Luís Santos 🔁
↦ K. Gorré
74′
P. Ntep 🔁
↦ J. De Santis
74′
Y. Hamache 🔁
↦ Filipe Ferreira
75′
77′
🔁 Daniel Bragança
↦ Pablo Sarabia
78′
🔁 Z. Feddal
↦ S. Coates
79′
🟨 Gonçalo Inácio
Rodrigo Abascal 🟨
82′
83′
Bruno Tabata 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Boavista

3-4-3
1 Rafael Bracali G
20 Filipe Ferreira M
26 R. Abascal D
21 J. Porozo D
2 R. Cannon D
22 Nathan F
42 G. Makouta M
18 I. Vukotić M
7 K. Gorré F
27 J. De Santis F
79 Pedro Malheiro M
Bench (9)
11 Y. Njie
14 Tomás Reymão
77 Luís Santos
36 P. Ntep
25 Y. Hamache
59 Martim Tavares
90 A. Beiranvand
17 Manuel Namora
80 Berna

Coach: Petit

Sp Lisbon

3-4-3
1 Adán G
13 Luís Carlos D
4 S. Coates D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
17 Pablo Sarabia F
6 João Palhinha M
11 Nuno Santos M
28 Pote F
8 Matheus Nunes M
23 M. Edwards F
Bench (9)
15 M. Ugarte
7 Bruno Tabata
16 Rúben Vinagre
68 Daniel Bragança
3 Z. Feddal
91 Rodrigo Ribeiro
31 João Virginia
87 Gonçalo Esteves
22 André Paulo

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,62
U
4,36
B ✓
1,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Mota · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.