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Serie B

Ascoli

T S S U S

4–1

Full-time

Ternana

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Ternana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

1,2

3,8

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

0,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 45%

49%

41%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

38%

51%

Both score Ø 56%

49%

62%

Average goals

2,4

3,1

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

18 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

2 Corners 9

9 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ascoli 7. · Ternana 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	37	18	14	5	+27	68
2	Monza	37	19	10	8	+23	67
3	Cremonese	37	19	9	9	+17	66
4	Pisa	37	17	13	7	+12	64
5	Benevento	37	18	9	10	+24	63
6	Brescia	37	16	15	6	+17	63
7	Ascoli	37	18	8	11	+7	62
8	Frosinone	37	15	13	9	+14	58
9	Perugia	37	13	16	8	+7	55
10	Ternana	37	15	9	13	+0	54
11	Cittadella	37	13	13	11	+3	52
12	Parma	38	11	16	11	+5	49
13	Reggina	37	13	9	15	-15	48
14	Como	37	11	14	12	-4	47
15	Spal	37	8	15	14	-9	39
16	Alessandria	37	8	10	19	-21	34
17	Cosenza	37	7	11	19	-24	32
18	Vicenza	37	8	7	22	-22	31
19	Crotone	38	4	14	20	-20	26
20	Pordenone	37	3	9	25	-41	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	19	13	4	2	+23	43
2	Lecce	18	12	5	1	+22	41
3	Cremonese	19	11	6	2	+14	39
4	Pisa	19	10	8	1	+13	38
5	Frosinone	18	10	6	2	+19	36
6	Benevento	18	10	4	4	+19	34
7	Brescia	18	7	8	3	+7	29
8	Ternana	19	9	2	8	+3	29
9	Reggina	19	9	2	8	-5	29
10	Ascoli	18	7	6	5	+3	27
11	Cittadella	19	7	5	7	+4	26
12	Parma	19	5	9	5	+5	24
13	Cosenza	18	7	3	8	-3	24
14	Perugia	18	5	8	5	+2	23
15	Como	18	5	7	6	+0	22
16	Alessandria	18	5	6	7	-6	21
17	Spal	19	4	8	7	+2	20
18	Crotone	19	4	8	7	-2	20
19	Vicenza	19	5	5	9	-4	20
20	Pordenone	19	2	7	10	-15	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ascoli	19	11	2	6	+4	35
2	Brescia	19	9	7	3	+10	34
3	Perugia	19	8	8	3	+5	32
4	Benevento	19	8	5	6	+5	29
5	Lecce	19	6	9	4	+5	27
6	Cremonese	18	8	3	7	+3	27
7	Pisa	18	7	5	6	-1	26
8	Cittadella	18	6	8	4	-1	26
9	Parma	19	6	7	6	+0	25
10	Ternana	18	6	7	5	-3	25
11	Como	19	6	7	6	-4	25
12	Monza	18	6	6	6	+0	24
13	Frosinone	19	5	7	7	-5	22
14	Reggina	18	4	7	7	-10	19
15	Spal	18	4	7	7	-11	19
16	Alessandria	19	3	4	12	-15	13
17	Vicenza	18	3	2	13	-18	11
18	Cosenza	19	0	8	11	-21	8
19	Crotone	19	0	6	13	-18	6
20	Pordenone	18	1	2	15	-26	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.