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Serie B

Crotone

T S T U U

1–2

Full-time

Ternana

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Ternana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 23%

36%

Points per game

0,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

45%

48%

Both score Ø 60%

58%

61%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

13 Shots 9

1 Shots on target 3

7 Corners 3

23 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crotone 19. · Ternana 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	34	17	14	3	+27	65
2	Cremonese	34	18	9	7	+18	63
3	Benevento	33	17	9	7	+26	60
4	Monza	33	17	9	7	+21	60
5	Pisa	33	16	11	6	+12	59
6	Brescia	33	15	13	5	+17	58
7	Frosinone	34	14	12	8	+14	54
8	Ascoli	33	15	7	11	+3	52
9	Perugia	33	11	15	7	+6	48
10	Cittadella	34	12	12	10	+3	48
11	Parma	33	10	15	8	+7	45
12	Ternana	33	12	8	13	-3	44
13	Como	34	10	14	10	-3	44
14	Reggina	33	12	8	13	-11	44
15	Spal	34	7	13	14	-12	34
16	Alessandria	34	7	8	19	-22	29
17	Cosenza	32	5	10	17	-23	25
18	Vicenza	34	6	7	21	-24	25
19	Crotone	33	3	12	18	-20	21
20	Pordenone	34	3	8	23	-36	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	17	12	3	2	+20	39
2	Lecce	17	11	5	1	+20	38
3	Cremonese	17	10	6	1	+13	36
4	Benevento	17	10	4	3	+20	34
5	Pisa	17	9	7	1	+11	34
6	Frosinone	17	9	6	2	+16	33
7	Reggina	17	8	2	7	-3	26
8	Brescia	16	6	7	3	+6	25
9	Ternana	17	8	1	8	+2	25
10	Parma	17	5	8	4	+6	23
11	Cittadella	17	6	5	6	+4	23
12	Ascoli	16	6	5	5	+1	23
13	Como	17	5	7	5	+2	22
14	Alessandria	17	5	5	7	-6	20
15	Perugia	16	4	7	5	+1	19
16	Cosenza	15	5	3	7	-4	18
17	Crotone	16	3	8	5	-2	17
18	Vicenza	17	4	5	8	-4	17
19	Spal	17	3	7	7	-1	16
20	Pordenone	17	2	6	9	-12	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	17	9	6	2	+11	33
2	Perugia	17	7	8	2	+5	29
3	Ascoli	17	9	2	6	+2	29
4	Lecce	17	6	9	2	+7	27
5	Cremonese	17	8	3	6	+5	27
6	Benevento	16	7	5	4	+6	26
7	Pisa	16	7	4	5	+1	25
8	Cittadella	17	6	7	4	-1	25
9	Parma	16	5	7	4	+1	22
10	Como	17	5	7	5	-5	22
11	Monza	16	5	6	5	+1	21
12	Frosinone	17	5	6	6	-2	21
13	Ternana	16	4	7	5	-5	19
14	Reggina	16	4	6	6	-8	18
15	Spal	17	4	6	7	-11	18
16	Alessandria	17	2	3	12	-16	9
17	Vicenza	17	2	2	13	-20	8
18	Cosenza	17	0	7	10	-19	7
19	Pordenone	17	1	2	14	-24	5
20	Crotone	17	0	4	13	-18	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.