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Serie B

Parma

S U S S T

0–1

Full-time

Ascoli

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 38%

29%

47%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

41%

Both score Ø 55%

56%

53%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

12 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 4

11 Corners 2

13 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Parma 13. · Ascoli 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	35	19	9	7	+20	66
2	Lecce	35	17	14	4	+26	65
3	Benevento	35	18	9	8	+28	63
4	Monza	34	18	9	7	+23	63
5	Brescia	34	16	13	5	+18	61
6	Pisa	34	16	12	6	+12	60
7	Ascoli	34	16	7	11	+5	55
8	Frosinone	34	14	12	8	+14	54
9	Perugia	35	12	16	7	+7	52
10	Cittadella	34	12	12	10	+3	48
11	Ternana	34	13	8	13	-2	47
12	Reggina	35	13	8	14	-12	47
13	Parma	34	10	15	9	+6	45
14	Como	34	10	14	10	-3	44
15	Spal	35	7	14	14	-12	35
16	Alessandria	34	7	8	19	-22	29
17	Cosenza	35	6	10	19	-26	28
18	Vicenza	35	6	7	22	-25	25
19	Crotone	35	3	13	19	-21	22
20	Pordenone	35	3	8	24	-39	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	17	12	3	2	+20	39
2	Cremonese	18	11	6	1	+15	39
3	Lecce	17	11	5	1	+20	38
4	Benevento	17	10	4	3	+20	34
5	Pisa	17	9	7	1	+11	34
6	Frosinone	17	9	6	2	+16	33
7	Reggina	18	9	2	7	-2	29
8	Brescia	17	7	7	3	+7	28
9	Ascoli	17	7	5	5	+3	26
10	Ternana	17	8	1	8	+2	25
11	Parma	17	5	8	4	+6	23
12	Cittadella	17	6	5	6	+4	23
13	Como	17	5	7	5	+2	22
14	Cosenza	17	6	3	8	-5	21
15	Perugia	17	4	8	5	+1	20
16	Alessandria	17	5	5	7	-6	20
17	Spal	18	3	8	7	-1	17
18	Crotone	17	3	8	6	-3	17
19	Vicenza	18	4	5	9	-5	17
20	Pordenone	18	2	6	10	-15	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	17	9	6	2	+11	33
2	Perugia	18	8	8	2	+6	32
3	Benevento	18	8	5	5	+8	29
4	Ascoli	17	9	2	6	+2	29
5	Lecce	18	6	9	3	+6	27
6	Cremonese	17	8	3	6	+5	27
7	Pisa	17	7	5	5	+1	26
8	Cittadella	17	6	7	4	-1	25
9	Monza	17	6	6	5	+3	24
10	Parma	17	5	7	5	+0	22
11	Ternana	17	5	7	5	-4	22
12	Como	17	5	7	5	-5	22
13	Frosinone	17	5	6	6	-2	21
14	Reggina	17	4	6	7	-10	18
15	Spal	17	4	6	7	-11	18
16	Alessandria	17	2	3	12	-16	9
17	Vicenza	17	2	2	13	-20	8
18	Cosenza	18	0	7	11	-21	7
19	Crotone	18	0	5	13	-18	5
20	Pordenone	17	1	2	14	-24	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.