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Championship
Referee: K Stroud
Reading
T T S T T
3–0
Full-time
Blackburn
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,2
This season — Championship · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
12 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
8 Free kicks against 7
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reading 21. · Blackburn 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Blackburn 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Hull 4 2 2 0 +2 8
3 Watford 4 2 2 0 +2 8
4 Millwall 4 2 1 1 +1 7
5 Cardiff 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Preston 4 1 3 0 +1 6
7 Blackpool 4 2 0 2 -1 6
8 Rotherham 3 1 2 0 +4 5
9 Sunderland 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Burnley 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Birmingham 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Swansea 4 1 2 1 -2 5
13 Sheffield United 3 1 1 1 +1 4
14 Bristol City 4 1 1 2 +0 4
15 QPR 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 Norwich 4 1 1 2 -1 4
17 Stoke 4 1 1 2 -2 4
18 Wigan 3 0 3 0 +0 3
19 Middlesbrough 4 0 3 1 -1 3
20 Huddersfield 4 1 0 3 -1 3
21 Reading 3 1 0 2 -4 3
22 West Brom 3 0 2 1 -1 2
23 Luton 4 0 2 2 -3 2
24 Coventry 2 0 1 1 -1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reading Blackburn
12′
🟨 Harry Pickering
1–0 T. Mcintyre
T. Ince
14′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Gallagher
↦ J. Vale
46′
🔁 B. Dack
↦ S. Szmodics
46′
🔁 R. Hedges
↦ T. Dolan
Tyrese Fornah 🟨
53′
Thomas Holmes 🟨
55′
55′
🟨 Daniel Ayala
2–0 J. Hoilett
61′
Nesta Guinness-Walker 🟨
63′
Lucas João 🔁
↦ S. Long
70′
3–0 Lucas João
T. Fornah
78′
K. Abrefa 🔁
↦ N. Guinness-Walker
80′
85′
🔁 T. Edun
↦ B. Brereton
Joe Lumley 🟨
87′
John Clarke 🔁
↦ J. Hoilett
92′
93′
🔁 T. Morton
↦ A. Phillips
Mamadou Loum 🟨
96′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Reading

3-1-4-2
1 J. Lumley G
17 A. Yiadom D
5 T. Mcintyre D
3 T. Holmes D
22 M. Loum M
23 J. Hoilett M
8 J. Hendrick M
19 T. Fornah M
18 N. Guinness-Walker M
10 T. Ince F
7 S. Long F
Bench (7)
9 Lucas João
30 K. Abrefa
33 John Clarke
35 K. Ehibhatiomhan
21 D. Bouzanis
28 Mamadi Camará
36 M. Craig

Coach: P. Ince

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
1 T. Kaminski G
2 C. Brittain D
33 A. Phillips D
4 Daniel Ayala D
3 H. Pickering D
27 L. Travis M
21 J. Buckley M
10 T. Dolan M
8 S. Szmodics M
22 B. Brereton M
29 J. Vale F
Bench (7)
9 S. Gallagher
23 B. Dack
19 R. Hedges
7 T. Edun
6 T. Morton
13 A. Pears
11 J. Rankin-Costello

Coach: J. Tomasson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,17
U
3,33
B
2,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,06
U2,5
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Stroud · 147 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.