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Championship
Referee: S Martin
Swansea
U U T T U
0–3
Full-time
Blackburn
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

71% Possession 29%
8 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 15. · Blackburn 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Millwall 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Hull 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Watford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Cardiff 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Burnley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Wigan 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Coventry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 West Brom 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Rotherham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Swansea 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Luton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Preston 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Norwich 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 QPR 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Reading 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Huddersfield 2 0 0 2 -2 0
24 Stoke 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Blackburn
Jay Fulton 🟨
20′
Joël Piroe 🟨
31′
35′
🟨 Sam Gallagher
39′
S. Szmodics 0–1
R. Hedges
Half-time 0–1
J. Paterson 🔁
↦ J. Fulton
52′
57′
B. Brereton 0–2
R. Hedges
58′
🔁 T. Edun
↦ S. Szmodics
M. Sorinola 🔁
↦ J. Latibeaudiere
70′
C. Congreve 🔁
↦ O. Ntcham
77′
79′
🔁 T. Dolan
↦ R. Hedges
79′
🔁 J. Vale
↦ S. Gallagher
84′
L. Travis 0–3
T. Dolan
Michael Obafemi 🟨
86′
89′
🔁 T. Morton
↦ J. Buckley
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Swansea

3-4-3
1 A. Fisher G
23 N. Wood-Gordon D
26 K. Naughton D
6 H. Darling D
22 J. Latibeaudiere M
8 M. Grimes M
4 J. Fulton M
3 R. Manning M
17 J. Piroe F
9 M. Obafemi F
10 O. Ntcham F
Bench (7)
12 J. Paterson
29 M. Sorinola
45 C. Congreve
31 O. Cooper
5 B. Cabango
13 S. Benda
20 L. Cullen

Coach: R. Martin

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
1 T. Kaminski G
2 C. Brittain D
4 Daniel Ayala D
16 S. Wharton D
3 H. Pickering D
27 L. Travis M
21 J. Buckley M
19 R. Hedges M
8 S. Szmodics M
22 B. Brereton M
9 S. Gallagher F
Bench (7)
7 T. Edun
10 T. Dolan
29 J. Vale
6 T. Morton
33 A. Phillips
23 B. Dack
13 A. Pears

Coach: J. Tomasson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U
3,29
B ✓
3,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,09
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Martin · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.