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Serie B

Referee: L Pairetto

Genoa

S U T U T

0–1

Full-time

Cittadella

U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 32%

43%

21%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

36%

29%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

43%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%

14 Shots 3

5 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

11 Corners 1

1 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 4. · Cittadella 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	14	10	1	3	+12	31
2	Reggina	14	8	2	4	+13	26
3	Parma	15	6	5	4	+5	23
4	Genoa	14	6	5	3	+4	23
5	Brescia	14	6	5	3	+1	23
6	Bari	14	5	7	2	+6	22
7	Ternana	15	6	4	5	+1	22
8	Sudtirol	14	5	6	3	-1	21
9	Ascoli	14	5	5	4	+2	20
10	Modena	15	6	2	7	+1	20
11	Cagliari	15	4	7	4	-1	19
12	Pisa	14	4	6	4	+4	18
13	Cittadella	14	3	7	4	-4	16
14	Spal	15	3	6	6	-2	15
15	Benevento	14	3	6	5	-2	15
16	Palermo	14	4	3	7	-5	15
17	Venezia	15	4	3	8	-6	15
18	Cosenza	14	4	3	7	-9	15
19	Como	14	3	5	6	-9	14
20	Perugia	14	3	2	9	-10	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	7	6	1	0	+10	19
2	Reggina	7	5	1	1	+13	16
3	Parma	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Brescia	7	4	3	0	+6	15
5	Ternana	7	3	3	1	+4	12
6	Como	8	3	3	2	+0	12
7	Cagliari	8	3	3	2	-1	12
8	Pisa	7	3	2	2	+4	11
9	Palermo	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Modena	7	3	1	3	+3	10
11	Spal	8	3	1	4	+2	10
12	Sudtirol	7	2	4	1	+1	10
13	Cittadella	7	2	4	1	+0	10
14	Cosenza	6	3	0	3	+1	9
15	Genoa	6	1	5	0	+1	8
16	Ascoli	7	2	2	3	-2	8
17	Bari	6	1	4	1	+2	7
18	Perugia	7	2	1	4	-5	7
19	Benevento	7	1	3	3	-3	6
20	Venezia	8	1	1	6	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	8	4	3	1	+4	15
2	Genoa	8	5	0	3	+3	15
3	Ascoli	7	3	3	1	+4	12
4	Frosinone	7	4	0	3	+2	12
5	Venezia	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Sudtirol	7	3	2	2	-2	11
7	Reggina	7	3	1	3	+0	10
8	Modena	8	3	1	4	-2	10
9	Ternana	8	3	1	4	-3	10
10	Benevento	7	2	3	2	+1	9
11	Brescia	7	2	2	3	-5	8
12	Pisa	7	1	4	2	+0	7
13	Cagliari	7	1	4	2	+0	7
14	Parma	7	1	4	2	+0	7
15	Cittadella	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Cosenza	8	1	3	4	-10	6
17	Spal	7	0	5	2	-4	5
18	Perugia	7	1	1	5	-5	4
19	Palermo	6	1	1	4	-6	4
20	Como	6	0	2	4	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.