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Serie B
Referee: E Feliciani
Cosenza
T T T S U
0–0
Full-time
Perugia
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Perugia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
29%
21%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
57%
36%
Both score Ø 54%
64%
43%
Average goals
2,8
2,1
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
13 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cosenza 18. · Perugia 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 14 10 1 3 +12 31
2 Reggina 14 8 2 4 +13 26
3 Parma 15 6 5 4 +5 23
4 Genoa 14 6 5 3 +4 23
5 Brescia 14 6 5 3 +1 23
6 Bari 14 5 7 2 +6 22
7 Ternana 15 6 4 5 +1 22
8 Sudtirol 14 5 6 3 -1 21
9 Ascoli 14 5 5 4 +2 20
10 Modena 15 6 2 7 +1 20
11 Cagliari 15 4 7 4 -1 19
12 Pisa 14 4 6 4 +4 18
13 Cittadella 14 3 7 4 -4 16
14 Spal 15 3 6 6 -2 15
15 Benevento 14 3 6 5 -2 15
16 Palermo 14 4 3 7 -5 15
17 Venezia 15 4 3 8 -6 15
18 Cosenza 14 4 3 7 -9 15
19 Como 14 3 5 6 -9 14
20 Perugia 14 3 2 9 -10 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cosenza Perugia
Idriz Voca 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Strizzolo
↦ G. Di Serio
46′
🔁 A. Beghetto
↦ Y. Paz
Michael Venturi 🟨
57′
E. Brignola 🔁
↦ M. Zilli
61′
61′
🔁 G. Luperini
↦ C. Kouan
67′
🔁 F. Melchiorri
↦ S. Di Carmine
K. Butić 🔁
↦ C. DUrso
77′
77′
🔁 E. Iannoni
↦ P. Bartolomei
79′
🟨 Edoardo Iannoni
A. Camigliano 🔁
↦ P. Gozzi
85′
M. Brescianini 🔁
↦ I. Voca
85′
Agostino Camigliano 🟨
86′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Cosenza

4-3-2-1
77 L. Marson G
23 M. Venturi D
15 S. Väisänen D
5 M. Rigione D
25 P. Gozzi D
42 I. Voca M
6 G. Calò M
34 A. Florenzi M
40 M. Zilli M
10 C. D'Urso M
9 J. Larrivey F
Bench (12)
11 E. Brignola
32 K. Butić
19 A. Camigliano
4 M. Brescianini
20 M. Nasti
33 S. La Vardera
7 E. Kornvig
14 C. Panico
18 D. Merola
28 A. Sidibe
31 K. Matošević
21 A. Vallocchia

Coach: W. Viali

Perugia

3-4-1-2
1 S. Gori G
97 F. Sgarbi D
21 M. Curado D
15 C. Dell'Orco D
24 T. Casasola M
16 P. Bartolomei M
25 S. Santoro M
17 Y. Paz M
28 C. Kouan F
20 G. Di Serio F
18 S. Di Carmine F
Bench (10)
41 L. Strizzolo
33 A. Beghetto
13 G. Luperini
9 F. Melchiorri
4 E. Iannoni
23 F. Lisi
6 S. Vulikić
12 J. Furlan
81 A. Abibi
2 A. Rosi

Coach: F. Castori

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,97
U ✓
3,08
B
2,46
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,27
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Feliciani · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.