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Serie B
Referee: G Miele
Spal
S U U T T
2–3
Full-time
Modena
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 29%
21%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
36%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
19 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 1
0 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Spal 14. · Modena 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 14 10 1 3 +12 31
2 Reggina 14 8 2 4 +13 26
3 Parma 15 6 5 4 +5 23
4 Genoa 14 6 5 3 +4 23
5 Brescia 14 6 5 3 +1 23
6 Bari 14 5 7 2 +6 22
7 Ternana 15 6 4 5 +1 22
8 Sudtirol 14 5 6 3 -1 21
9 Ascoli 14 5 5 4 +2 20
10 Cagliari 15 4 7 4 -1 19
11 Pisa 14 4 6 4 +4 18
12 Modena 14 5 2 7 +0 17
13 Cittadella 14 3 7 4 -4 16
14 Spal 14 3 6 5 -1 15
15 Benevento 14 3 6 5 -2 15
16 Palermo 14 4 3 7 -5 15
17 Venezia 15 4 3 8 -6 15
18 Cosenza 14 4 3 7 -9 15
19 Como 14 3 5 6 -9 14
20 Perugia 14 3 2 9 -10 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spal Modena
Biagio Meccariello 🟨
9′
35′
🟥 Davide Diaw
Raffaele Celia 🟨
37′
37′
🟨 Luca Tremolada
Lorenzo Dickmann 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
A. La Mantia 1–0
own goal
F. Maistro 🔁
↦ B. Meccariello
46′
A. Tripaldelli 🔁
↦ R. Celia
56′
G. Tunjov 🔁
↦ L. Dickmann
56′
2–0 G. Moncini
G. Tunjov
58′
60′
🔁 L. Magnino
↦ A. Poli
60′
🔁 F. Ponsi
↦ F. Renzetti
61′
🔁 G. Cittadini
↦ L. Tremolada
Christian Dalle Mura 🟨
62′
66′
🟨 Giorgio Cittadini
72′
D. Falcinelli 2–1
M. Armellino
Alessandro Tripaldelli ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
79′
79′
ℹ️ Diego Falcinelli
VAR: Card upgrade
Luca Valzania 🟨
81′
N. Rauti 🔁
↦ F. Proia
81′
87′
🟨 Diego Falcinelli
M. Finotto 🔁
↦ C. Dalle Mura
87′
89′
🔁 D. Marsura
↦ D. Falcinelli
96′
🟨 Davide Marsura
96′
D. Marsura 2–2
3–2 G. Moncini
97′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Spal

3-5-2
1 E. Alfonso G
27 P. Peda D
6 B. Meccariello D
4 C. Dalle Mura D
24 L. Dickmann M
16 L. Valzania M
5 S. Esposito M
8 F. Proia M
21 R. Celia M
19 A. La Mantia F
9 G. Moncini F
Bench (12)
37 F. Maistro
3 A. Tripaldelli
40 G. Tunjov
32 N. Rauti
11 M. Finotto
2 A. Fiordaliso
20 M. Prati
99 S. Rabbi
10 N. Zanellato
22 D. Thiam
18 M. Arena
13 M. Varnier

Coach: D. De Rossi

Modena

4-3-2-1
26 R. Gagno G
96 S. Oukhadda D
15 T. Silvestri D
4 A. Pergreffi D
33 F. Renzetti D
21 M. Armellino M
16 F. Gerli M
24 A. Poli M
10 L. Tremolada M
11 D. Falcinelli M
99 D. Diaw F
Bench (12)
6 L. Magnino
3 F. Ponsi
5 G. Cittadini
17 D. Marsura
19 R. Giovannini
28 S. De Maio
43 S. Panada
27 Paulo Azzi
8 N. Mosti
9 N. Bonfanti
7 E. Duca
12 A. Seculin

Coach: A. Tesser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,32
U
3,09
B ✓
3,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Miele · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
30,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.