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Serie B

Referee: F La Penna

Perugia

T S T T U

1–0

Full-time

Genoa

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 31%

15%

46%

Points per game

0,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

38%

Both score Ø 50%

46%

54%

Average goals

2,2

2,1

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%

12 Shots 20

4 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 9

5 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Perugia 20. · Genoa 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	13	10	0	3	+12	30
2	Reggina	14	8	2	4	+13	26
3	Genoa	13	6	5	2	+5	23
4	Parma	14	6	4	4	+5	22
5	Ternana	14	6	4	4	+2	22
6	Bari	13	5	6	2	+6	21
7	Brescia	13	5	5	3	-1	20
8	Sudtirol	13	5	5	3	-1	20
9	Ascoli	13	5	4	4	+2	19
10	Pisa	14	4	6	4	+4	18
11	Modena	14	5	2	7	+0	17
12	Cagliari	13	4	5	4	-1	17
13	Spal	13	3	6	4	+1	15
14	Benevento	14	3	6	5	-2	15
15	Palermo	13	4	3	6	-4	15
16	Cittadella	13	3	6	4	-4	15
17	Cosenza	13	4	2	7	-9	14
18	Como	13	3	4	6	-9	13
19	Venezia	13	2	3	8	-8	9
20	Perugia	13	2	2	9	-11	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	6	6	0	0	+10	18
2	Reggina	7	5	1	1	+13	16
3	Parma	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Brescia	6	3	3	0	+4	12
5	Ternana	7	3	3	1	+4	12
6	Pisa	7	3	2	2	+4	11
7	Palermo	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Como	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	Cagliari	7	3	2	2	-1	11
10	Modena	7	3	1	3	+3	10
11	Spal	7	3	1	3	+3	10
12	Cosenza	6	3	0	3	+1	9
13	Sudtirol	6	2	3	1	+1	9
14	Cittadella	6	2	3	1	+0	9
15	Genoa	6	1	5	0	+1	8
16	Ascoli	7	2	2	3	-2	8
17	Bari	6	1	4	1	+2	7
18	Benevento	7	1	3	3	-3	6
19	Perugia	6	1	1	4	-6	4
20	Venezia	7	0	1	6	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genoa	7	5	0	2	+4	15
2	Bari	7	4	2	1	+4	14
3	Frosinone	7	4	0	3	+2	12
4	Ascoli	6	3	2	1	+4	11
5	Sudtirol	7	3	2	2	-2	11
6	Reggina	7	3	1	3	+0	10
7	Ternana	7	3	1	3	-2	10
8	Benevento	7	2	3	2	+1	9
9	Venezia	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Brescia	7	2	2	3	-5	8
11	Pisa	7	1	4	2	+0	7
12	Modena	7	2	1	4	-3	7
13	Parma	6	1	3	2	+0	6
14	Cagliari	6	1	3	2	+0	6
15	Cittadella	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Spal	6	0	5	1	-2	5
17	Cosenza	7	1	2	4	-10	5
18	Perugia	7	1	1	5	-5	4
19	Palermo	6	1	1	4	-6	4
20	Como	6	0	2	4	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.