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Serie B
Referee: D Rutella
Ternana
U T T S U
0–3
Full-time
Como
U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Como
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 30%
41%
18%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
47%
35%
Both score Ø 50%
47%
53%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
22 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 6
10 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 11
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ternana 7. · Como 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 17 11 3 3 +15 36
2 Reggina 18 10 3 5 +13 33
3 Bari 18 7 9 2 +12 30
4 Genoa 17 7 6 4 +5 27
5 Pisa 18 6 8 4 +9 26
6 Parma 17 7 5 5 +6 26
7 Ternana 17 7 5 5 +2 26
8 Brescia 18 6 6 6 -6 24
9 Sudtirol 17 5 8 4 -3 23
10 Ascoli 17 5 7 5 +0 22
11 Cagliari 17 5 7 5 -1 22
12 Benevento 17 5 6 6 -1 21
13 Modena 17 6 3 8 -2 21
14 Palermo 17 5 5 7 -4 20
15 Venezia 17 5 4 8 -4 19
16 Cittadella 17 4 7 6 -7 19
17 Spal 17 3 8 6 -2 17
18 Cosenza 17 4 5 8 -11 17
19 Como 17 3 7 7 -10 16
20 Perugia 17 3 4 10 -11 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ternana Como
15′
P. Cutrone 0–1
Álex Blanco
Andrea Favilli 🟨
25′
Francesco Di Tacchio 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–1
M. Proietti 🔁
↦ F. Di Tacchio
46′
47′
🟨 Luis Binks
59′
🔁 L. Mancuso
↦ P. Cutrone
59′
🔁 J. Da Riva
↦ P. Faragò
59′
🔁 V. Parigini
↦ Álex Blanco
Marino Defendi 🟨
60′
66′
🟨 Alessandro Gabrielloni
68′
🔁 G. Ambrosino
↦ A. Gabrielloni
D. Agazzi 🔁
↦ A. Palumbo
69′
S. Pettinari 🔁
↦ A. Partipilo
69′
77′
G. Ambrosino 0–2
80′
🔁 A. Cagnano
↦ N. Ioannou
88′
🟨 Andrea Cagnano
A. Celli 🔁
↦ N. Corrado
88′
F. Cassata 🔁
↦ M. Coulibaly
88′
93′
L. Mancuso 0–3
T. Arrigoni
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Ternana

4-3-1-2
1 A. Iannarilli G
25 M. Defendi D
4 F. Sørensen D
13 V. Mantovani D
91 N. Corrado D
2 M. Coulibaly M
14 F. Di Tacchio M
5 A. Palumbo M
10 C. Falletti M
17 A. Favilli F
21 A. Partipilo F
Bench (12)
8 M. Proietti
34 D. Agazzi
32 S. Pettinari
30 A. Celli
29 F. Cassata
16 P. Rovaglia
24 L. Ghiringhelli
18 Raul Moro
26 L. Bogdan
12 T. Krapikas
20 F. Paghera
23 S. Diakité

Coach: A. Andreazzoli

Como

3-4-1-2
1 S. Ghidotti G
26 C. Odenthal D
23 F. Scaglia D
2 L. Binks D
8 P. Faragò M
21 T. Arrigoni M
14 A. Bellemo M
44 N. Ioannou M
19 Álex Blanco F
9 A. Gabrielloni F
63 P. Cutrone F
Bench (11)
77 L. Mancuso
5 J. Da Riva
11 V. Parigini
70 G. Ambrosino
3 A. Cagnano
12 P. Bolchini
25 R. Ba
99 M. Vigorito
24 E. Celeghin
52 M. Tremolada
33 F. Delli Carri

Coach: M. Longo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,03
U
3,36
B ✓
3,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Rutella · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.