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Serie B
Referee: M Marcenaro
Sudtirol
U U U U T
0–0
Full-time
Ternana
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Ternana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,3
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
31%
44%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
16 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 10. · Ternana 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 16 11 2 3 +15 35
2 Reggina 16 9 2 5 +12 29
3 Bari 16 6 8 2 +9 26
4 Genoa 16 7 5 4 +5 26
5 Ternana 16 7 4 5 +2 25
6 Brescia 16 6 6 4 -1 24
7 Parma 16 6 5 5 +4 23
8 Pisa 16 5 7 4 +6 22
9 Cagliari 17 5 7 5 -1 22
10 Sudtirol 16 5 7 4 -3 22
11 Modena 16 6 3 7 +1 21
12 Ascoli 16 5 6 5 +0 21
13 Palermo 16 5 4 7 -4 19
14 Cittadella 16 4 7 5 -6 19
15 Benevento 16 4 6 6 -2 18
16 Cosenza 16 4 5 7 -9 17
17 Spal 16 3 7 6 -2 16
18 Venezia 16 4 4 8 -6 16
19 Como 16 3 7 6 -9 16
20 Perugia 17 3 4 10 -11 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Ternana
7′
🟨 Mamadou Coulibaly
M. Rover 🔁
↦ F. De Col
14′
F. Berra 🔁
↦ S. Davì
20′
Half-time 0–0
M. Pompetti 🔁
↦ H. Nicolussi
46′
46′
🔁 F. Paghera
↦ C. Falletti
58′
🔁 F. Cassata
↦ M. Coulibaly
63′
🟨 Fabrizio Paghera
70′
🔁 N. Corrado
↦ B. Martella
78′
🟨 Francesco Cassata
84′
🔁 D. Agazzi
↦ A. Palumbo
84′
🔁 S. Spalluto
↦ S. Pettinari
N. Siega 🔁
↦ D. Casiraghi
88′
M. Marconi 🔁
↦ S. Mazzocchi
88′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sudtirol

4-4-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
4 M. Curto D
19 G. Zaro D
55 A. Masiello D
24 S. Davì D
26 F. De Col M
21 F. Tait M
14 H. Nicolussi M
17 D. Casiraghi M
90 R. Odogwu F
9 S. Mazzocchi F
Bench (12)
18 M. Rover
2 F. Berra
23 M. Pompetti
7 N. Siega
31 M. Marconi
5 K. Vinetot
30 G. Crociata
37 C. Capone
22 A. Iacobucci
10 M. Carretta
8 D. Voltan
88 A. Schiavone

Coach: P. Bisoli

Ternana

4-3-1-2
1 A. Iannarilli G
25 M. Defendi D
4 F. Sørensen D
13 V. Mantovani D
87 B. Martella D
2 M. Coulibaly M
14 F. Di Tacchio M
5 A. Palumbo M
10 C. Falletti M
21 A. Partipilo F
32 S. Pettinari F
Bench (12)
20 F. Paghera
29 F. Cassata
91 N. Corrado
34 D. Agazzi
11 S. Spalluto
12 T. Krapikas
24 L. Ghiringhelli
26 L. Bogdan
8 M. Proietti
23 S. Diakité
30 A. Celli
18 Raul Moro

Coach: A. Andreazzoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,59
U ✓
3,03
B
2,85
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,15
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Marcenaro · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.