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Serie B
Referee: I Pezzuto
Como
S U U U U
0–1
Full-time
Reggina
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Reggina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
19%
56%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
38%
63%
Both score Ø 47%
56%
38%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Como 19. · Reggina 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 16 11 2 3 +15 35
2 Reggina 16 9 2 5 +12 29
3 Bari 16 6 8 2 +9 26
4 Genoa 16 7 5 4 +5 26
5 Ternana 16 7 4 5 +2 25
6 Brescia 16 6 6 4 -1 24
7 Parma 16 6 5 5 +4 23
8 Pisa 16 5 7 4 +6 22
9 Cagliari 17 5 7 5 -1 22
10 Sudtirol 16 5 7 4 -3 22
11 Modena 16 6 3 7 +1 21
12 Ascoli 16 5 6 5 +0 21
13 Palermo 16 5 4 7 -4 19
14 Cittadella 16 4 7 5 -6 19
15 Benevento 16 4 6 6 -2 18
16 Cosenza 16 4 5 7 -9 17
17 Spal 16 3 7 6 -2 16
18 Venezia 16 4 4 8 -6 16
19 Como 16 3 7 6 -9 16
20 Perugia 17 3 4 10 -11 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Como Reggina
Luca Vignali 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
59′
🔁 J. Ménez
↦ G. Gori
67′
🟨 Jérémy Ménez
72′
🔁 L. Canotto
↦ F. Ricci
72′
🔁 R. Rivas
↦ E. Cicerelli
72′
🔁 G. Fabbian
↦ L. Crisetig
Alessandro Bellemo 🟨
77′
78′
Hernani 0–1
J. Da Riva 🔁
↦ T. Arrigoni
79′
Álex Blanco 🔁
↦ P. Faragò
79′
82′
🔁 M. Camporese
↦ R. Rivas
G. Ambrosino 🔁
↦ L. Mancuso
84′
A. Gabrielloni 🔁
↦ N. Ioannou
89′
91′
🟨 Riccardo Gagliolo
Patrick Cutrone 🟨
98′
98′
🟨 Simone Colombi
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Como

4-3-1-2
1 S. Ghidotti G
28 L. Vignali D
26 C. Odenthal D
2 L. Binks D
44 N. Ioannou D
8 P. Faragò M
14 A. Bellemo M
21 T. Arrigoni M
27 A. Cerri M
63 P. Cutrone F
77 L. Mancuso F
Bench (11)
5 J. Da Riva
19 Álex Blanco
70 G. Ambrosino
9 A. Gabrielloni
99 M. Vigorito
25 R. Ba
33 F. Delli Carri
23 F. Scaglia
3 A. Cagnano
24 E. Celeghin
12 P. Bolchini

Coach: M. Longo

Reggina

4-3-3
22 S. Colombi G
27 N. Pierozzi D
3 T. Cionek D
28 R. Gagliolo D
17 G. Di Chiara D
37 Ž. Majer M
8 L. Crisetig M
20 Hernani M
21 F. Ricci F
9 G. Gori F
11 E. Cicerelli F
Bench (12)
7 J. Ménez
31 L. Canotto
99 R. Rivas
14 G. Fabbian
23 M. Camporese
25 A. Lombardi
98 F. Giraudo
12 T. Aglietti
13 D. Bouah
1 F. Ravaglia
6 G. Loiacono
94 D. Liotti

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,11
U
3,29
B ✓
2,26
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,00
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

I Pezzuto · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.