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Serie B
Referee: E Marchetti
Como
T S T S U
1–1
Full-time
Bari
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Bari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
23%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
38%
46%
Both score Ø 58%
54%
62%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
14 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Como 18. · Bari 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 13 10 0 3 +12 30
2 Reggina 14 8 2 4 +13 26
3 Genoa 13 6 5 2 +5 23
4 Parma 14 6 4 4 +5 22
5 Ternana 14 6 4 4 +2 22
6 Bari 13 5 6 2 +6 21
7 Brescia 13 5 5 3 -1 20
8 Sudtirol 13 5 5 3 -1 20
9 Ascoli 13 5 4 4 +2 19
10 Pisa 14 4 6 4 +4 18
11 Modena 14 5 2 7 +0 17
12 Cagliari 13 4 5 4 -1 17
13 Spal 13 3 6 4 +1 15
14 Benevento 14 3 6 5 -2 15
15 Palermo 13 4 3 6 -4 15
16 Cittadella 13 3 6 4 -4 15
17 Cosenza 13 4 2 7 -9 14
18 Como 13 3 4 6 -9 13
19 Venezia 13 2 3 8 -8 9
20 Perugia 13 2 2 9 -11 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Como Bari
14′
🟨 Mirco Antenucci
Álex Blanco 🔁
↦ V. Parigini
19′
Álex Blanco ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
27′
Andrea Cagnano 🟨
32′
32′
🟨 Michael Folorunsho
Alberto Cerri 🟨
36′
Alessio Iovine ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
45′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 R. Botta
↦ E. Salcedo
46′
🔁 C. Galano
↦ M. Folorunsho
1–0 A. Cerri
47′
N. Ioannou 🔁
↦ L. Vignali
56′
J. Da Riva 🔁
↦ A. Cagnano
56′
63′
🔁 A. D'Errico
↦ A. Mallamo
63′
🔁 D. Ceter
↦ M. Antenucci
L. Mancuso 🔁
↦ P. Cutrone
75′
L. Binks 🔁
↦ Álex Blanco
75′
Leonardo Mancuso 🟨
82′
85′
🟨 Raffaele Pucino
85′
🔁 N. Bellomo
↦ R. Maiello
90′
R. Botta 1–1
94′
🟨 Damir Ceter
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Como

4-3-1-2
1 S. Ghidotti G
28 L. Vignali D
26 C. Odenthal D
16 M. Solini D
3 A. Cagnano D
6 A. Iovine M
14 A. Bellemo M
21 T. Arrigoni M
11 V. Parigini M
27 A. Cerri F
63 P. Cutrone F
Bench (12)
19 Álex Blanco
44 N. Ioannou
5 J. Da Riva
77 L. Mancuso
2 L. Binks
23 F. Scaglia
4 Cesc Fàbregas
70 G. Ambrosino
9 A. Gabrielloni
33 F. Delli Carri
99 M. Vigorito
24 E. Celeghin

Coach: M. Longo

Bari

4-3-1-2
18 E. Caprile G
25 R. Pucino D
20 E. Terranova D
23 F. Vicari D
93 M. Dorval D
90 M. Folorunsho M
17 R. Maiello M
99 A. Mallamo M
14 E. Salcedo M
26 A. Scheidler F
7 M. Antenucci F
Bench (11)
10 R. Botta
19 C. Galano
9 A. D'Errico
30 D. Ceter
63 N. Bellomo
80 L. Benedetti
1 P. Frattali
44 M. Bosisio
21 Ž. Žužek
74 G. Cangiano
13 G. Gigliotti

Coach: M. Mignani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,94
U ✓
3,15
B
2,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,11
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.