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Serie B
Referee: G Miele
Frosinone
S U U S S
3–2
Full-time
Genoa
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Genoa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
This season — Serie B · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 59%
61%
56%
Points per game
2,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
42%
36%
Both score Ø 35%
36%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,9
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
0,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Frosinone 1. · Genoa 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 36 22 8 6 +35 74
2 Genoa 36 20 11 5 +25 71
3 Bari 37 17 14 6 +22 65
4 Parma 37 16 10 11 +8 58
5 Sudtirol 37 14 16 7 +5 58
6 Cagliari 37 14 15 8 +15 57
7 Reggina 37 16 4 17 +3 52
8 Venezia 37 13 10 14 +2 49
9 Palermo 37 11 15 11 -1 48
10 Pisa 37 11 14 12 +7 47
11 Ascoli 37 12 11 14 -6 47
12 Como 37 10 16 11 -1 46
13 Modena 37 12 9 16 -7 45
14 Ternana 37 11 10 16 -14 43
15 Cittadella 37 9 15 13 -11 42
16 Cosenza 37 9 13 15 -22 40
17 Brescia 37 9 12 16 -21 39
18 Perugia 37 9 9 19 -13 36
19 Spal 37 7 14 16 -11 35
20 Benevento 37 7 14 16 -15 35

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Frosinone Genoa
14′
M. Badelj 0–1
26′
ℹ️ Mattia Bani
VAR: Card upgrade
27′
🟥 Mattia Bani
1–1 L. Mazzitelli
29′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 D. Boloca
M. Cotali
46′
56′
🟨 Silvan Hefti
M. Rohdén 🔁
↦ J. Báez
60′
G. Caso 🔁
↦ R. Insigne
60′
65′
🔁 G. Puşcaş
↦ E. Salcedo
I. Monterisi 🔁
↦ S. Kalaj
71′
Gennaro Borrelli 🟨
72′
74′
🔁 A. Guðmundsson
↦ M. Aramu
74′
🔁 F. Jagiełło
↦ M. Frendrup
3–1 G. Borrelli
M. Rohdén
76′
78′
🔁 G. Yalçın
↦ C. Ekuban
87′
🟨 Güven Yalçın
L. Moro 🔁
↦ G. Borrelli
87′
L. Garritano 🔁
↦ L. Mazzitelli
88′
92′
A. Guðmundsson 3–2
93′
ℹ️ Albert Guðmundsson
VAR: Goal confirmed
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Frosinone

4-3-3
22 S. Turati G
31 M. Sampirisi D
5 F. Lucioni D
23 S. Kalaj D
29 M. Cotali D
36 L. Mazzitelli M
11 D. Boloca M
14 F. Gelli M
94 R. Insigne F
90 G. Borrelli F
32 J. Báez F
Bench (12)
7 M. Rohdén
10 G. Caso
30 I. Monterisi
24 L. Moro
16 L. Garritano
1 L. Loria
41 A. Oliveri
26 S. Bidaoui
6 K. Kujabi
27 A. Selvini
25 P. Szymiński
4 B. Kone

Coach: F. Grosso

Genoa

3-5-2
22 Josep Martínez G
13 M. Bani D
14 A. Vogliacco D
5 R. Drăgușin D
36 S. Hefti M
32 M. Frendrup M
47 M. Badelj M
10 M. Aramu M
2 S. Sabelli M
17 E. Salcedo F
18 C. Ekuban F
Bench (11)
57 G. Puşcaş
11 A. Guðmundsson
24 F. Jagiełło
50 G. Yalçın
8 K. Strootman
45 L. Gagliardi
66 G. Calvani
68 B. Boci
1 A. Šemper
82 G. Agostino
9 M. Coda

Coach: A. Gilardino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,54
U
3,04
B
2,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,70
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Miele · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
30,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.