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Serie B
Referee: G Ayroldi
Brescia
T S S T T
3–2
Full-time
Cremonese
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

35% Possession 65%
14 Shots 19
7 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 10. · Cremonese 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pisa 7 4 2 1 +3 14
2 Spezia 7 3 4 0 +4 13
3 Sassuolo 7 3 3 1 +1 12
4 Cesena 7 3 2 2 +3 11
5 Palermo 7 3 2 2 +2 11
6 Juve Stabia 7 3 2 2 +0 11
7 Cremonese 6 3 1 2 +3 10
8 Mantova 7 3 1 3 -2 10
9 Bari 7 2 3 2 +2 9
10 Brescia 6 3 0 3 +2 9
11 Reggiana 7 2 3 2 +0 9
12 Cosenza 7 2 3 2 +0 9
13 Sudtirol 7 3 0 4 -2 9
14 Modena 7 2 2 3 +0 8
15 Sampdoria 7 2 2 3 +0 8
16 Salernitana 7 2 2 3 -1 8
17 Cittadella 7 2 2 3 -1 8
18 Catanzaro 7 1 4 2 -1 7
19 Frosinone 7 1 3 3 -7 6
20 Carrarese 7 1 1 5 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Cremonese
1–0 M. Besaggio
6′
Andrea Cistana 🟨
13′
2–0 G. Borrelli
34′
36′
🟨 Dennis Johnsen
38′
🟨 Marco Nasti
3–0 M. Verreth
39′
Ante Matej Jurić 🟨
42′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 M. De Luca
↦ D. Johnsen
46′
🔁 J. Vandeputte
↦ F. Vázquez
G. Moncini 🔁
↦ A. Jurič
61′
M. Bertagnoli 🔁
↦ G. Olzer
61′
67′
🔁 T. Barbieri
↦ L. Sernicola
70′
M. Nasti 3–1
J. Vandeputte
71′
🔁 C. Buonaiuto
↦ L. Zanimacchia
71′
🔁 C. Pickel
↦ Ž. Majer
N. Corrado 🔁
↦ M. Besaggio
74′
81′
C. Buonaiuto 3–2
Matthias Verreth 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Jari Vandeputte
P. Nuamah 🔁
↦ G. Borrelli
87′
Lorenzo Dickmann 🟨
96′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Brescia

3-5-1-1
1 L. Lezzerini G
15 A. Cistana D
28 D. Adorni D
18 A. Jallow D
24 L. Dickmann M
25 D. Bisoli M
6 M. Verreth M
27 G. Olzer M
39 M. Besaggio M
7 A. Jurič F
29 G. Borrelli F
Bench (12)
11 G. Moncini
26 M. Bertagnoli
19 N. Corrado
20 P. Nuamah
4 F. Paghera
21 R. Fogliata
22 L. Andrenacci
5 G. Calvani
8 B. Bjarnason
9 F. Bianchi
32 A. Papetti
16 T. Buhagiar

Coach: R. Maran

Cremonese

3-5-2
1 A. Fulignati G
26 V. Antov D
42 L. Moretti D
15 M. Bianchetti D
98 L. Zanimacchia M
20 F. Vázquez M
37 Ž. Majer M
18 M. Collocolo M
17 L. Sernicola M
99 M. Nasti F
11 D. Johnsen F
Bench (11)
9 M. De Luca
27 J. Vandeputte
4 T. Barbieri
10 C. Buonaiuto
6 C. Pickel
23 F. Ceccherini
62 T. Milanese
22 A. Jungdal
21 G. Saro
90 F. Bonazzoli
3 G. Quagliata

Coach: G. Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,84
U
3,08
B
2,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.