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Serie B
Referee: I Pezzuto
Catanzaro
U U T S U
1–2
Full-time
Cremonese
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
20%
20%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
1,6
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%
8 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
22 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Catanzaro 14. · Cremonese 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pisa 5 3 2 0 +4 11
2 Brescia 5 3 0 2 +3 9
3 Spezia 5 2 3 0 +2 9
4 Sudtirol 5 3 0 2 +1 9
5 Cosenza 5 2 2 1 +1 8
6 Juve Stabia 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Cittadella 5 2 2 1 +1 8
8 Sassuolo 5 2 2 1 +0 8
9 Cremonese 5 2 1 2 +2 7
10 Cesena 5 2 1 2 +1 7
11 Reggiana 5 2 1 2 +0 7
12 Palermo 5 2 1 2 +0 7
13 Mantova 5 2 1 2 -1 7
14 Catanzaro 5 1 3 1 +0 6
15 Salernitana 5 2 0 3 -1 6
16 Modena 5 1 2 2 -1 5
17 Bari 5 1 2 2 -1 5
18 Carrarese 5 1 0 4 -4 3
19 Frosinone 5 0 3 2 -5 3
20 Sampdoria 5 0 2 3 -3 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Catanzaro Cremonese
5′
M. Castagnetti 0–1
L. Zanimacchia
20′
🟨 Michele Collocolo
1–1 M. Compagnon
M. Šitum
28′
Pietro Iemmello 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–1
51′
🟨 Valentin Antov
T. Cassandro 🔁
↦ M. Compagnon
58′
R. Pagano 🔁
↦ M. DAlessandro
59′
F. Pittarello 🔁
↦ P. Iemmello
65′
67′
🔁 T. Barbieri
↦ L. Sernicola
Tommaso Cassandro 🟨
69′
73′
🔁 D. Johnsen
↦ M. De Luca
78′
🟨 Lorenzo Moretti
D. Seck 🔁
↦ T. Biasci
80′
I. Koutsoupias 🔁
↦ M. Pompetti
80′
85′
🟨 Franco Vázquez
88′
T. Barbieri 1–2
D. Johnsen
91′
ℹ️ Dennis Johnsen
VAR: Goal confirmed
94′
🔁 C. Pickel
↦ J. Vandeputte
95′
🔁 G. Quagliata
↦ L. Zanimacchia
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Catanzaro

4-4-2
22 M. Pigliacelli G
92 M. Šitum D
4 Matias Antonini D
23 N. Brighenti D
6 F. Bonini D
7 M. Compagnon M
21 M. Pompetti M
10 J. Petriccione M
70 M. D'Alessandro M
9 P. Iemmello F
28 T. Biasci F
Bench (12)
84 T. Cassandro
24 R. Pagano
90 F. Pittarello
29 D. Seck
8 I. Koutsoupias
45 N. Buso
3 R. Turicchia
1 A. Dini
19 A. La Mantia
14 S. Scognamillo
80 M. Coulibaly
27 A. Ceresoli

Coach: F. Caserta

Cremonese

3-5-1-1
1 A. Fulignati G
26 V. Antov D
42 L. Moretti D
15 M. Bianchetti D
98 L. Zanimacchia M
18 M. Collocolo M
19 M. Castagnetti M
27 J. Vandeputte M
17 L. Sernicola M
20 F. Vázquez F
9 M. De Luca F
Bench (10)
4 T. Barbieri
11 D. Johnsen
3 G. Quagliata
6 C. Pickel
62 T. Milanese
25 D. Triacca
21 G. Saro
57 D. Lordkipanidze
97 G. Gabbiani
22 A. Jungdal

Coach: G. Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,78
U
3,22
B ✓
2,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Pezzuto · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.