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Superligaen
Referee: J Maae
Nordsjaelland
S T U T S
4–1
Full-time
Brondby
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,7
4,2
Scored
2,3
2,8
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
44%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
78%
56%
Average goals
3,7
3,6
Scored
1,8
2,1
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nordsjaelland 8. · Brondby 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 10 7 3 0 +11 +6.0 24
2 FC Copenhagen 10 6 2 2 +8 +7.7 20
3 Aarhus 10 5 4 1 +14 +1.6 19
4 Silkeborg 10 5 3 2 +6 +0.3 18
5 Brondby 9 4 3 2 +6 +5.7 15
6 Randers FC 10 3 5 2 +1 +0.2 14
7 Viborg 10 3 3 4 +1 -2.4 12
8 Nordsjaelland 9 3 3 3 -1 +5.2 12
9 Aalborg 10 4 0 6 -10 -8.4 12
10 Sonderjyske 10 2 2 6 -11 -8.5 8
11 Lyngby 10 1 4 5 -6 -2.7 7
12 Vejle 10 0 0 10 -19 -4.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nordsjaelland Brondby
13′
Y. Suzuki 0–1
S. Sebulonsen
1–1 M. Ingvartsen
J. Tverskov
18′
2–1 S. Egeli
J. Tverskov
21′
3–1 B. Nygren
25′
28′
🟨 Mathias Kvistgaarden
4–1 M. Dorgeles
J. Tverskov
34′
Half-time 4–1
46′
🔁 M. Rajović
↦ S. Sebulonsen
46′
🔁 N. Nartey
↦ D. Wass
57′
🟨 Frederik Alves
61′
🔁 J. Vanlerberghe
↦ S. Klaiber
Mario Dorgeles 🟨
66′
71′
🔁 C. Bischoff
↦ Y. Suzuki
M. Iloski 🔁
↦ M. Ingvartsen
72′
Z. Sertdemir 🔁
↦ M. Brink
72′
Daniel Svensson 🟨
73′
75′
🔁 F. Bundgaard
↦ M. Kvistgaarden
76′
🟨 Jordi Vanlerberghe
78′
🟨 Filip Bundgaard
Peter Ankersen 🟨
82′
L. Nene 🔁
↦ B. Nygren
89′
M. Hansen 🔁
↦ S. Egeli
90′
J. Janssen 🔁
↦ M. Dorgeles
93′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
2 P. Ankersen D
19 L. Hey D
24 L. Høgsberg D
5 D. Svensson D
8 M. Dorgeles M
6 J. Tverskov M
16 M. Brink M
10 B. Nygren F
7 M. Ingvartsen F
14 S. Egeli F
Bench (9)
32 M. Iloski
21 Z. Sertdemir
17 L. Nene
18 J. Janssen
11 M. Hansen
38 W. Lykke
20 A. Mohammed
45 N. Markmann
36 C. Yirenkyi

Coach: J. Olsen

Brondby

3-4-2-1
1 P. Pentz G
31 S. Klaiber D
32 F. Alves D
4 J. Rasmussen D
2 S. Sebulonsen M
10 D. Wass M
6 S. Spierings M
24 M. Divković M
28 Y. Suzuki F
7 N. Vallys F
36 M. Kvistgaarden F
Bench (9)
17 M. Rajović
35 N. Nartey
30 J. Vanlerberghe
37 C. Bischoff
11 F. Bundgaard
46 J. Che
16 T. Mikkelsen
39 A. Jensen
22 J. Radošević

Coach: J. Sørensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Maae · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.