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Serie B
Referee: M Marchetti
Frosinone
T T U U U
1–1
Full-time
Palermo
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Palermo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 21%
8%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
42%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
42%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Frosinone 20. · Palermo 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 12 7 4 1 +12 25
2 Pisa 12 7 4 1 +8 25
3 Spezia 12 6 6 0 +8 24
4 Cesena 12 5 3 4 +2 18
5 Cremonese 12 5 3 4 +2 18
6 Juve Stabia 12 4 5 3 +0 17
7 Brescia 12 5 2 5 -1 17
8 Palermo 12 4 4 4 +2 16
9 Sampdoria 12 4 3 5 +1 15
10 Cosenza 12 3 6 3 -1 15
11 Bari 12 2 8 2 +2 14
12 Catanzaro 12 2 8 2 +2 14
13 Reggiana 12 3 4 5 -2 13
14 Carrarese 12 3 4 5 -2 13
15 Salernitana 12 3 4 5 -3 13
16 Mantova 12 3 4 5 -4 13
17 Sudtirol 12 4 1 7 -5 13
18 Cittadella 12 3 4 5 -8 13
19 Modena 12 2 5 5 -3 11
20 Frosinone 12 1 6 5 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Frosinone Palermo
2′
R. Insigne 0–1
1–1 G. Bracaglia
R. Marchizza
16′
Ebrima Darboe 🟨
28′
45′
🟨 Valerio Verre
Half-time 1–1
F. Sene 🔁
↦ G. Ambrosino
46′
64′
🔁 F. Ranocchia
↦ C. Gomes
Davide Biraschi 🟨
73′
75′
🔁 A. Vasić
↦ V. Verre
75′
🔁 T. Henry
↦ J. Le Douaron
L. Garritano 🔁
↦ F. Gelli
81′
L. Canotto 🔁
↦ G. Kvernadze
81′
88′
🔁 F. Di Francesco
↦ F. Di Mariano
88′
🔁 N. Pierozzi
↦ S. Diakité
Luca Garritano 🟨
89′
İ. Vural 🔁
↦ K. Barcella
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Frosinone

3-5-2
31 M. Cerofolini G
4 D. Biraschi D
30 I. Monterisi D
79 G. Bracaglia D
20 A. Oyono M
37 K. Barcella M
55 E. Darboe M
14 F. Gelli M
3 R. Marchizza M
10 G. Ambrosino F
17 G. Kvernadze F
Bench (11)
99 F. Sene
16 L. Garritano
27 L. Canotto
8 İ. Vural
64 M. Cichella
11 T. Begić
7 F. Ghedjemis
47 Mateus Lusuardi
13 A. Sorrentino
21 J. Oyono
18 D. Bettella

Coach: L. Greco

Palermo

4-3-3
1 S. Desplanches G
23 S. Diakité D
18 I. Nedelcearu D
43 D. Nikolaou D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
8 J. Segre M
6 C. Gomes M
26 V. Verre M
11 R. Insigne F
21 J. Le Douaron F
7 F. Di Mariano F
Bench (12)
10 F. Ranocchia
14 A. Vasić
20 T. Henry
17 F. Di Francesco
27 N. Pierozzi
25 A. Buttaro
12 M. Nespola
46 S. Sirigu
19 S. Appuah
3 K. Lund
9 M. Brunori
29 P. Peda

Coach: A. Dionisi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,98
U ✓
3,17
B
2,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Marchetti · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.