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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Lasyk

Pogon Szczecin

S T S S T

0–1

Full-time

Radomiak Radom

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Radomiak Radom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 14/13 matches

Win Ø 41%

50%

31%

Points per game

1,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

50%

62%

Both score Ø 53%

43%

62%

Average goals

2,9

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,82 xG 1,61

60% Possession 40%

25 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 9

17 Corners 6

0 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 6. · Radomiak Radom 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	14	10	1	3	+15	+7.7	31
2	Jagiellonia	14	10	1	3	+7	-1.0	31
3	Rakow	14	9	3	2	+13	+9.3	30
4	Cracovia	14	9	2	3	+10	+2.3	29
5	Legia	14	7	4	3	+12	+7.7	25
6	Pogon Szczecin	14	7	1	6	+2	+3.7	22
7	Motor Lublin	15	6	3	6	-5	-3.2	21
8	Piast Gliwice	15	5	5	5	+1	-0.5	20
9	Widzew Lodz	14	5	4	5	-1	-1.1	19
10	Gornik Zabrze	14	5	3	6	+1	+1.8	18
11	Zaglebie	14	5	3	6	-5	-2.5	18
12	GKS Katowice	14	4	4	6	+1	+1.0	16
13	Korona Kielce	14	4	3	7	-10	-4.5	15
14	Radomiak Radom	13	4	1	8	-3	+0.2	13
15	Stal Mielec	14	3	3	8	-7	+0.7	12
16	Puszcza	14	2	5	7	-10	-8.7	11
17	Lechia Gdansk	14	2	4	8	-11	-11.8	10
18	Slask Wroclaw	13	1	6	6	-10	-1.2	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	7	7	0	0	+11	+7.1	21
2	Lech Poznan	7	6	0	1	+12	+7.1	18
3	Legia	8	5	1	2	+10	+5.8	16
4	Jagiellonia	7	5	1	1	+6	+3.3	16
5	Rakow	7	4	1	2	+6	+4.8	13
6	Zaglebie	7	4	1	2	+3	+0.7	13
7	Cracovia	7	3	2	2	+2	+1.4	11
8	Stal Mielec	7	3	2	2	+1	+4.7	11
9	Motor Lublin	8	3	2	3	-1	-0.6	11
10	Radomiak Radom	7	3	1	3	+3	+3.3	10
11	Gornik Zabrze	7	3	1	3	+2	+3.8	10
12	Widzew Lodz	6	3	1	2	+0	+0.1	10
13	Piast Gliwice	7	2	3	2	+1	-1.9	9
14	GKS Katowice	8	2	3	3	+1	-2.5	9
15	Puszcza	7	2	3	2	-2	-3.6	9
16	Slask Wroclaw	6	1	4	1	-1	+1.7	7
17	Korona Kielce	6	2	0	4	-3	-0.3	6
18	Lechia Gdansk	7	1	2	4	-5	-8.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	7	6	0	1	+8	+0.9	18
2	Rakow	7	5	2	0	+7	+4.5	17
3	Jagiellonia	7	5	0	2	+1	-4.3	15
4	Lech Poznan	7	4	1	2	+3	+0.6	13
5	Piast Gliwice	8	3	2	3	+0	+1.4	11
6	Motor Lublin	7	3	1	3	-4	-2.6	10
7	Legia	6	2	3	1	+2	+1.9	9
8	Widzew Lodz	8	2	3	3	-1	-1.2	9
9	Korona Kielce	8	2	3	3	-7	-4.2	9
10	Gornik Zabrze	7	2	2	3	-1	-2.0	8
11	GKS Katowice	6	2	1	3	+0	+3.5	7
12	Lechia Gdansk	7	1	2	4	-6	-3.8	5
13	Zaglebie	7	1	2	4	-8	-3.1	5
14	Radomiak Radom	6	1	0	5	-6	-3.1	3
15	Puszcza	7	0	2	5	-8	-5.0	2
16	Slask Wroclaw	7	0	2	5	-9	-2.9	2
17	Stal Mielec	7	0	1	6	-8	-4.1	1
18	Pogon Szczecin	7	0	1	6	-9	-3.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.