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Serie B

Referee: A Giua

Frosinone

S S T S T

1–0

Full-time

Palermo

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

60%

40%

Points per game

1,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

40%

Both score Ø 30%

20%

40%

Average goals

2,0

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

0,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

14 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Frosinone 4. · Palermo 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	6	5	0	1	+4	15
2	Reggina	5	4	0	1	+9	12
3	Cagliari	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Frosinone	5	3	0	2	+4	9
5	Bari	5	2	3	0	+3	9
6	Cittadella	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Spal	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Genoa	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Ascoli	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Cosenza	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Palermo	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Benevento	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Ternana	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Parma	5	1	3	1	+0	6
15	Sudtirol	5	2	0	3	-4	6
16	Venezia	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Perugia	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Modena	5	1	0	4	-2	3
19	Como	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	Pisa	5	0	1	4	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Cittadella	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Reggina	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Frosinone	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Palermo	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Cagliari	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Spal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Ascoli	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Ternana	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Parma	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Perugia	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Modena	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Sudtirol	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Cosenza	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Benevento	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Genoa	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Bari	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Pisa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Como	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Reggina	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Brescia	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Cagliari	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Benevento	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Cosenza	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Venezia	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Frosinone	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Ternana	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Sudtirol	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Parma	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Spal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Cittadella	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Como	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Palermo	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Pisa	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Modena	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Perugia	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.