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LaLiga2
Vallecano
U U U S T
2–0
Full-time
Santander
T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 88%
100%
75%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 88%
100%
75%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

20 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 0
12 Corners 3
21 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Vallecano 11. · Santander 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 4 4 0 0 +5 12
2 Zaragoza 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Almeria 4 3 1 0 +5 10
4 Fuenlabrada 4 3 1 0 +4 10
5 Huesca 4 3 0 1 +3 9
6 Girona 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Alcorcon 4 2 0 2 -1 6
8 Albacete 4 2 0 2 -3 6
9 Ponferradina 4 1 2 1 +2 5
10 Sp Gijon 4 1 2 1 +1 5
11 Vallecano 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Numancia 4 1 1 2 +0 4
13 Malaga 4 1 1 2 -1 4
14 Mirandes 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Elche 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 Tenerife 4 1 1 2 -5 4
17 Las Palmas 4 0 3 1 -1 3
18 Lugo 4 0 3 1 -2 3
19 La Coruna 4 1 0 3 -4 3
20 Santander 4 0 2 2 -2 2
21 Extremadura UD 4 0 2 2 -2 2
22 Oviedo 4 0 1 3 -3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
U
3,48
B
4,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.