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LaLiga2

Alcorcon

T U S S U

2–2

Full-time

Lugo

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 28%

32%

24%

Points per game

1,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

41%

38%

Both score Ø 55%

59%

51%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

16 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 2

7 Corners 4

13 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alcorcon 8. · Lugo 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	38	18	12	8	+13	66
2	Zaragoza	37	17	10	10	+12	61
3	Huesca	38	18	7	13	+9	61
4	Almeria	38	16	12	10	+20	60
5	Elche	38	14	13	11	+8	55
6	Girona	37	15	10	12	+5	55
7	Tenerife	38	14	11	13	+6	53
8	Alcorcon	37	12	16	9	+3	52
9	Fuenlabrada	38	12	15	11	+4	51
10	Vallecano	37	10	20	7	+7	50
11	Las Palmas	38	12	14	12	-1	50
12	Mirandes	38	11	17	10	-4	50
13	Sp Gijon	37	13	10	14	+4	49
14	Ponferradina	38	11	15	12	-3	48
15	La Coruna	38	11	15	12	-15	48
16	Malaga	38	9	19	10	+0	46
17	Albacete	38	11	12	15	-12	45
18	Numancia	38	11	11	16	-6	44
19	Oviedo	38	10	14	14	-7	44
20	Lugo	37	9	14	14	-14	41
21	Extremadura UD	38	8	13	17	-14	37
22	Santander	38	4	18	16	-15	30

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huesca	19	13	3	3	+15	42
2	Girona	19	12	5	2	+14	41
3	Cadiz	19	10	6	3	+10	36
4	Ponferradina	19	8	9	2	+9	33
5	Numancia	19	9	5	5	+8	32
6	Vallecano	19	8	8	3	+7	32
7	Sp Gijon	18	9	4	5	+11	31
8	Almeria	19	9	3	7	+10	30
9	Mirandes	19	6	11	2	+6	29
10	Fuenlabrada	19	7	8	4	+5	29
11	Tenerife	19	7	8	4	+5	29
12	La Coruna	19	7	8	4	+0	29
13	Zaragoza	18	8	4	6	+6	28
14	Las Palmas	19	7	7	5	+5	28
15	Malaga	19	6	9	4	+4	27
16	Elche	19	6	8	5	+4	26
17	Oviedo	19	5	11	3	+2	26
18	Lugo	19	6	7	6	-6	25
19	Albacete	19	4	8	7	-6	20
20	Extremadura UD	19	5	4	10	-6	19
21	Alcorcon	18	5	4	9	-7	19
22	Santander	19	2	9	8	-4	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alcorcon	19	7	12	0	+10	33
2	Zaragoza	19	9	6	4	+6	33
3	Almeria	19	7	9	3	+10	30
4	Cadiz	19	8	6	5	+3	30
5	Elche	19	8	5	6	+4	29
6	Albacete	19	7	4	8	-6	25
7	Tenerife	19	7	3	9	+1	24
8	Fuenlabrada	19	5	7	7	-1	22
9	Las Palmas	19	5	7	7	-6	22
10	Mirandes	19	5	6	8	-10	21
11	Malaga	19	3	10	6	-4	19
12	Huesca	19	5	4	10	-6	19
13	La Coruna	19	4	7	8	-15	19
14	Vallecano	18	2	12	4	+0	18
15	Sp Gijon	19	4	6	9	-7	18
16	Extremadura UD	19	3	9	7	-8	18
17	Oviedo	19	5	3	11	-9	18
18	Lugo	18	3	7	8	-8	16
19	Santander	19	2	9	8	-11	15
20	Ponferradina	19	3	6	10	-12	15
21	Girona	18	3	5	10	-9	14
22	Numancia	19	2	6	11	-14	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.