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LaLiga2
Espanol
S S T S U
2–0
Full-time
Ponferradina
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
1,2
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 60%
63%
57%
Points per game
2,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
13%
43%
Both score Ø 15%
0%
29%
Average goals
1,3
2,1
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
0,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

13 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 5
13 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 1. · Ponferradina 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 8 5 2 1 +8 17
2 Sp Gijon 8 5 1 2 +4 16
3 Mallorca 8 4 3 1 +5 15
4 Leganes 8 5 0 3 +2 15
5 Malaga 8 4 2 2 -2 14
6 Vallecano 8 4 1 3 +2 13
7 Fuenlabrada 8 3 4 1 +1 13
8 Ponferradina 7 4 0 3 +3 12
9 Cartagena 9 3 3 3 +2 12
10 Las Palmas 8 3 3 2 +0 12
11 Lugo 8 4 0 4 +0 12
12 Girona 7 4 0 3 -2 12
13 Mirandes 8 2 4 2 +0 10
14 Castellon 8 2 2 4 -1 8
15 Albacete 8 2 2 4 -3 8
16 Tenerife 8 2 2 4 -3 8
17 Almeria 6 2 1 3 +1 7
18 Oviedo 8 1 4 3 -3 7
19 Zaragoza 6 1 3 2 -1 6
20 Alcorcon 6 1 2 3 -2 5
21 Logrones 7 1 2 4 -3 5
22 Sabadell 6 0 1 5 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,52
U
3,71
B
6,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.