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LaLiga2
Ponferradina
T S T T S
3–0
Full-time
Vallecano
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

7 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 8
23 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ponferradina 10. · Vallecano 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Gijon 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Fuenlabrada 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Vallecano 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Malaga 3 2 0 1 +0 6
5 Espanol 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Alcorcon 3 1 1 1 +1 4
7 Castellon 3 1 1 1 +0 4
8 Mallorca 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Ponferradina 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Leganes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Tenerife 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Lugo 3 1 0 2 -3 3
14 Oviedo 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Mirandes 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 Las Palmas 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Zaragoza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Logrones 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Cartagena 2 0 1 1 -1 1
20 Sabadell 2 0 0 2 -2 0
21 Girona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Albacete 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,10
U
2,92
B
2,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,38
U2,5
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.