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LaLiga2
Sp Gijon
S S T U T
2–1
Full-time
Ponferradina
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 62%
57%
67%
Points per game
1,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 16%
14%
17%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
0,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

16 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 1
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 3. · Ponferradina 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 7 5 1 1 +8 16
2 Vallecano 7 4 1 2 +3 13
3 Sp Gijon 7 4 1 2 +3 13
4 Fuenlabrada 8 3 4 1 +1 13
5 Malaga 7 4 1 2 -2 13
6 Ponferradina 6 4 0 2 +4 12
7 Cartagena 8 3 3 2 +3 12
8 Mallorca 7 3 3 1 +3 12
9 Leganes 7 4 0 3 +1 12
10 Las Palmas 8 3 3 2 +0 12
11 Lugo 8 4 0 4 +0 12
12 Mirandes 7 2 3 2 +0 9
13 Girona 6 3 0 3 -3 9
14 Castellon 8 2 2 4 -1 8
15 Almeria 6 2 1 3 +1 7
16 Oviedo 7 1 4 2 -2 7
17 Tenerife 7 2 1 4 -3 7
18 Alcorcon 5 1 2 2 +0 5
19 Zaragoza 5 1 2 2 -1 5
20 Logrones 7 1 2 4 -3 5
21 Albacete 7 1 2 4 -4 5
22 Sabadell 5 0 0 5 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,23
U
2,92
B
3,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,65
U2,5
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.