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Championship

Referee: J Smith

Blackburn

S T S U T

1–4

Full-time

Preston

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Preston

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

This season — Championship · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 48%

57%

38%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

48%

29%

Both score Ø 29%

24%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%

7 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 4

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Blackburn 3. · Preston 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	21	11	8	2	+17	41
2	Sheffield United	21	11	5	5	+16	38
3	Blackburn	21	12	0	9	+2	36
4	Watford	21	9	6	6	+6	33
5	Norwich	21	9	5	7	+6	32
6	QPR	21	9	4	8	+2	31
7	Millwall	21	9	4	8	+1	31
8	Swansea	21	8	7	6	-1	31
9	Preston	21	8	7	6	-2	31
10	Sunderland	20	8	5	7	+6	29
11	Luton	20	7	8	5	+1	29
12	Reading	21	9	2	10	-7	29
13	Birmingham	21	7	7	7	+3	28
14	Middlesbrough	20	7	6	7	+4	27
15	Coventry	18	7	5	6	+2	26
16	Rotherham	21	6	8	7	-1	26
17	Stoke	21	7	4	10	-5	25
18	Bristol City	21	6	6	9	-2	24
19	Cardiff	21	7	3	11	-8	24
20	Hull	21	7	3	11	-14	24
21	West Brom	20	5	8	7	+0	23
22	Wigan	21	6	5	10	-10	23
23	Blackpool	21	6	4	11	-9	22
24	Huddersfield	20	5	4	11	-7	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	11	7	4	0	+13	25
2	Blackburn	10	8	0	2	+10	24
3	Millwall	10	7	1	2	+9	22
4	Watford	10	6	1	3	+7	19
5	Reading	10	6	1	3	+4	19
6	Sheffield United	10	5	3	2	+11	18
7	Norwich	11	5	3	3	+6	18
8	QPR	10	5	2	3	+5	17
9	Swansea	10	5	2	3	+2	17
10	Rotherham	10	4	3	3	+5	15
11	Bristol City	11	4	3	4	+3	15
12	Birmingham	11	3	5	3	+3	14
13	Middlesbrough	10	3	5	2	+1	14
14	Huddersfield	11	4	2	5	+0	14
15	Cardiff	11	4	2	5	-1	14
16	Sunderland	10	3	4	3	+3	13
17	Coventry	8	4	1	3	+3	13
18	West Brom	11	3	4	4	+0	13
19	Preston	11	3	4	4	-4	13
20	Luton	10	2	6	2	+2	12
21	Hull	11	4	0	7	-9	12
22	Stoke	10	3	2	5	-3	11
23	Blackpool	10	3	1	6	-4	10
24	Wigan	11	2	3	6	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	11	6	2	3	+5	20
2	Preston	10	5	3	2	+2	18
3	Luton	10	5	2	3	-1	17
4	Burnley	10	4	4	2	+4	16
5	Sunderland	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Wigan	10	4	2	4	+0	14
7	Norwich	10	4	2	4	+0	14
8	Birmingham	10	4	2	4	+0	14
9	Watford	11	3	5	3	-1	14
10	Stoke	11	4	2	5	-2	14
11	Swansea	11	3	5	3	-3	14
12	QPR	11	4	2	5	-3	14
13	Middlesbrough	10	4	1	5	+3	13
14	Coventry	10	3	4	3	-1	13
15	Hull	10	3	3	4	-5	12
16	Blackpool	11	3	3	5	-5	12
17	Blackburn	11	4	0	7	-8	12
18	Rotherham	11	2	5	4	-6	11
19	West Brom	9	2	4	3	+0	10
20	Cardiff	10	3	1	6	-7	10
21	Reading	11	3	1	7	-11	10
22	Bristol City	10	2	3	5	-5	9
23	Millwall	11	2	3	6	-8	9
24	Huddersfield	9	1	2	6	-7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.