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Championship

Referee: G Ward

Preston

S T T S T

2–1

Full-time

Middlesbrough

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston Middlesbrough

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Championship · 17/15 matches

Win Ø 28%

29%

27%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

18%

53%

Both score Ø 42%

24%

60%

Average goals

1,5

2,6

Scored

0,6

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 5

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 4

5 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Preston 14. · Middlesbrough 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	17	8	8	1	+15	32
2	QPR	17	9	3	5	+6	30
3	Blackburn	17	10	0	7	+4	30
4	Sheffield United	17	8	5	4	+12	29
5	Swansea	17	8	4	5	+0	28
6	Millwall	16	8	2	6	+3	26
7	Norwich	17	7	4	6	+4	25
8	Reading	16	8	1	7	-4	25
9	Luton	16	6	6	4	+2	24
10	Watford	16	6	5	5	+3	23
11	Birmingham	17	6	5	6	+3	23
12	Rotherham	16	5	7	4	+1	22
13	Bristol City	18	6	4	8	-1	22
14	Preston	17	5	7	5	-3	22
15	Sunderland	16	5	5	6	+1	20
16	Hull	16	6	2	8	-11	20
17	Stoke	16	5	4	7	-3	19
18	Blackpool	16	5	4	7	-4	19
19	Wigan	16	5	4	7	-7	19
20	Cardiff	16	5	3	8	-7	18
21	Middlesbrough	15	4	5	6	-1	17
22	Coventry	13	3	5	5	-3	14
23	West Brom	17	2	8	7	-4	14
24	Huddersfield	15	3	3	9	-6	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blackburn	9	7	0	2	+9	21
2	Millwall	9	7	0	2	+9	21
3	Reading	9	6	1	2	+5	19
4	QPR	8	5	2	1	+7	17
5	Burnley	8	4	4	0	+8	16
6	Watford	8	5	1	2	+6	16
7	Swansea	9	5	1	3	+2	16
8	Sheffield United	8	4	3	1	+9	15
9	Rotherham	9	4	3	2	+6	15
10	Norwich	8	4	2	2	+5	14
11	Bristol City	9	4	2	3	+4	14
12	Middlesbrough	9	3	4	2	+1	13
13	Birmingham	8	3	3	2	+4	12
14	Hull	8	4	0	4	-5	12
15	Cardiff	7	3	2	2	+1	11
16	Luton	8	2	4	2	+2	10
17	Sunderland	8	2	4	2	+1	10
18	Huddersfield	8	3	1	4	+1	10
19	Blackpool	8	3	1	4	+0	10
20	Stoke	8	2	2	4	-4	8
21	West Brom	9	1	4	4	-3	7
22	Preston	8	1	4	3	-4	7
23	Wigan	8	1	3	4	-9	6
24	Coventry	4	1	1	2	-1	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	9	4	4	1	+7	16
2	Preston	9	4	3	2	+1	15
3	Sheffield United	9	4	2	3	+3	14
4	Luton	8	4	2	2	+0	14
5	Wigan	8	4	1	3	+2	13
6	QPR	9	4	1	4	-1	13
7	Swansea	8	3	3	2	-2	12
8	Stoke	8	3	2	3	+1	11
9	Norwich	9	3	2	4	-1	11
10	Birmingham	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Sunderland	8	3	1	4	+0	10
12	Coventry	9	2	4	3	-2	10
13	Blackpool	8	2	3	3	-4	9
14	Blackburn	8	3	0	5	-5	9
15	Bristol City	9	2	2	5	-5	8
16	Hull	8	2	2	4	-6	8
17	West Brom	8	1	4	3	-1	7
18	Watford	8	1	4	3	-3	7
19	Rotherham	7	1	4	2	-5	7
20	Cardiff	9	2	1	6	-8	7
21	Reading	7	2	0	5	-9	6
22	Millwall	7	1	2	4	-6	5
23	Middlesbrough	6	1	1	4	-2	4
24	Huddersfield	7	0	2	5	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.