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LaLiga2
Oviedo
U U U T T
3–1
Full-time
Lugo
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Lugo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
33%
29%
Both score Ø 46%
50%
42%
Average goals
2,1
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

6 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 16. · Lugo 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mallorca 25 15 6 4 +21 51
2 Espanol 25 15 4 6 +21 49
3 Almeria 24 15 4 5 +17 49
4 Leganes 24 13 4 7 +9 43
5 Sp Gijon 25 12 7 6 +9 43
6 Vallecano 25 12 5 8 +7 41
7 Mirandes 25 10 7 8 +5 37
8 Ponferradina 25 11 4 10 -1 37
9 Girona 25 9 7 9 -3 34
10 Fuenlabrada 25 7 12 6 +0 33
11 Tenerife 25 9 6 10 -1 33
12 Lugo 24 8 8 8 +1 32
13 Las Palmas 25 8 8 9 -7 32
14 Malaga 25 8 7 10 -10 31
15 Logrones 25 8 5 12 -13 29
16 Oviedo 24 6 10 8 +0 28
17 Sabadell 25 6 8 11 -6 26
18 Zaragoza 25 6 7 12 -6 25
19 Cartagena 25 6 7 12 -8 25
20 Alcorcon 25 6 6 13 -9 24
21 Albacete 25 6 6 13 -14 24
22 Castellon 25 6 4 15 -12 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,03
U
2,88
B
4,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,76
U2,5
1,42
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.