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Bundesliga
Referee: F Badstübner
Bayern Munich
S S S S S
3–3
Full-time
Bielefeld
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Bielefeld
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 20/19 matches
Win Ø 51%
75%
26%
Points per game
2,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
80%
47%
Both score Ø 59%
75%
42%
Average goals
4,2
2,5
Scored
2,9
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

64% Possession 36%
19 Shots 7
12 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · Bielefeld 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 20 15 3 2 +32 48
2 RB Leipzig 21 13 5 3 +19 44
3 Ein Frankfurt 21 10 9 2 +14 39
4 Wolfsburg 21 10 9 2 +13 39
5 Leverkusen 21 10 6 5 +16 36
6 Dortmund 21 10 3 8 +10 33
7 M'gladbach 21 8 9 4 +6 33
8 Freiburg 21 8 7 6 +2 31
9 Union Berlin 21 7 9 5 +9 30
10 Stuttgart 21 6 8 7 +3 26
11 Werder Bremen 20 5 8 7 -3 23
12 Hoffenheim 21 6 5 10 -7 23
13 Augsburg 21 6 4 11 -13 22
14 FC Koln 21 5 6 10 -15 21
15 Hertha 21 4 6 11 -11 18
16 Bielefeld 19 5 2 12 -17 17
17 Mainz 21 3 5 13 -21 14
18 Schalke 04 21 1 6 14 -37 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich Bielefeld
9′
M. Vlap 0–1
M. Prietl
37′
A. Pieper 0–2
M. Vlap
41′
🔁 C. Gebauer
↦ R. Doan
Half-time 1–2
1–2 R. Lewandowski
D. Alaba
48′
49′
C. Gebauer 1–3
A. Voglsammer
2–3 C. Tolisso
L. Sané
57′
J. Kimmich 🔁
↦ B. Sarr
58′
62′
🔁 N. Seufert
↦ A. Voglsammer
62′
🔁 S. Córdova
↦ M. Vlap
3–3 A. Davies
69′
Corentin Tolisso 🟨
78′
80′
🟨 Fabian Kunze
89′
🔁 M. van der Hoorn
↦ F. Klos
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
27 D. Alaba M
20 B. Sarr D
4 N. Süle D
21 L. Hernández D
19 A. Davies D
24 C. Tolisso M
13 E. Choupo-Moting M
9 R. Lewandowski F
29 K. Coman M
10 L. Sané M
Bench (8)
6 J. Kimmich
47 A. Sieb
42 J. Musiala
5 B. Pavard
39 R. Hoffmann
22 Marc Roca
28 Tiago Dantas
49 M. Zaiser

Coach: H. Flick

Bielefeld

4-2-3-1
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
5 J. Laursen D
4 J. Nilsson D
27 C. Brunner D
2 A. Pieper D
19 M. Prietl M
16 F. Kunze M
8 R. Doan M
28 M. Vlap M
9 F. Klos F
21 A. Voglsammer M
Bench (9)
7 C. Gebauer
20 N. Seufert
18 S. Córdova
6 M. van der Hoorn
30 M. Hartel
15 N. De Medina
36 S. Schipplock
34 O. Linnér
11 M. Okugawa

Coach: U. Neuhaus

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,16
U ✓
8,30
B
15,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,30
U2,5
3,51
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.