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Super League

Referee: E Gortsilas

Larisa

T T T T U

2–4

Full-time

AEK

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larisa AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,0

2,5

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

This season — Super League · 21/23 matches

Win Ø 31%

57%

Points per game

0,4

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

33%

43%

Both score Ø 41%

38%

43%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,4

1,4

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

47% Possession 53%

6 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

24 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Larisa 15. · AEK 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	23	19	3	1	+46	60
2	Panathinaikos	24	13	5	6	+12	44
3	Aris Thessalonikis	22	13	4	5	+14	43
4	Aris	22	13	4	5	+14	43
5	AEK	23	13	4	6	+8	43
6	PAOK	22	11	7	4	+18	40
7	Asteras Tripolis	24	11	7	6	+2	40
8	Volos NFC	24	6	9	9	-10	27
9	Atromitos	23	6	8	9	-8	26
10	Giannina	23	5	8	10	-4	23
11	Apollon	23	6	4	13	-8	22
12	OFI Crete	23	5	4	14	-20	19
13	Lamia	21	3	6	12	-20	15
14	Panetolikos	24	2	9	13	-20	15
15	Larisa	21	1	6	14	-24	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	11	11	0	0	+29	33
2	PAOK	11	7	4	0	+15	25
3	Asteras Tripolis	12	7	3	2	+4	24
4	Panathinaikos	12	6	3	3	+6	21
5	Aris Thessalonikis	11	6	2	3	+5	20
6	Aris	11	6	2	3	+5	20
7	AEK	12	5	3	4	+2	18
8	Atromitos	12	4	4	4	-1	16
9	Lamia	11	3	2	6	-8	11
10	Volos NFC	11	2	4	5	-6	10
11	Panetolikos	12	2	3	7	-7	9
12	OFI Crete	13	2	3	8	-14	9
13	Giannina	11	1	5	5	-4	8
14	Apollon	11	2	1	8	-8	7
15	Larisa	10	0	5	5	-10	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	12	8	3	1	+17	27
2	AEK	11	8	1	2	+6	25
3	Aris Thessalonikis	11	7	2	2	+9	23
4	Aris	11	7	2	2	+9	23
5	Panathinaikos	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Volos NFC	13	4	5	4	-4	17
7	Asteras Tripolis	12	4	4	4	-2	16
8	PAOK	11	4	3	4	+3	15
9	Giannina	12	4	3	5	+0	15
10	Apollon	12	4	3	5	+0	15
11	OFI Crete	10	3	1	6	-6	10
12	Atromitos	11	2	4	5	-7	10
13	Panetolikos	12	0	6	6	-13	6
14	Lamia	10	0	4	6	-12	4
15	Larisa	11	1	1	9	-14	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.