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Ekstraklasa

Gornik Zabrze

S T T U T

2–1

Full-time

Stal Mielec

S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 16/15 matches

Win Ø 32%

44%

20%

Points per game

1,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

44%

47%

Both score Ø 52%

44%

60%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 5. · Stal Mielec 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	17	10	5	2	+14	35
2	Legia	17	10	3	4	+9	33
3	Rakow	17	8	4	5	+8	28
4	Slask Wroclaw	17	7	4	6	+4	25
5	Gornik Zabrze	16	7	3	6	+3	24
6	Jagiellonia	17	7	3	7	-2	24
7	Lechia Gdansk	17	7	2	8	+0	23
8	Zaglebie	17	6	5	6	+0	23
9	Wisla Plock	16	6	4	6	+0	22
10	Cracovia	17	5	7	5	-1	22
11	Piast Gliwice	17	5	6	6	+2	21
12	Warta Poznan	17	6	2	9	-4	20
13	Lech Poznan	17	4	7	6	+0	19
14	Wisla	17	4	6	7	+1	18
15	Podbeskidzie	17	4	4	9	-23	16
16	Stal Mielec	15	3	5	7	-11	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	9	5	4	0	+8	19
2	Slask Wroclaw	8	5	3	0	+7	18
3	Rakow	9	5	1	3	+4	16
4	Legia	9	5	1	3	+3	16
5	Jagiellonia	8	4	3	1	+5	15
6	Zaglebie	8	4	3	1	+3	15
7	Cracovia	9	3	4	2	+0	13
8	Podbeskidzie	9	4	1	4	-7	13
9	Gornik Zabrze	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Wisla Plock	9	3	2	4	+0	11
11	Lechia Gdansk	9	3	1	5	+0	10
12	Lech Poznan	8	2	4	2	+0	10
13	Warta Poznan	8	3	1	4	-3	10
14	Piast Gliwice	8	2	3	3	-1	9
15	Stal Mielec	7	2	2	3	-6	8
16	Wisla	8	2	0	6	-5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	8	5	2	1	+6	17
2	Pogon Szczecin	8	5	1	2	+6	16
3	Gornik Zabrze	8	4	1	3	+2	13
4	Lechia Gdansk	8	4	1	3	+0	13
5	Wisla	9	2	6	1	+6	12
6	Rakow	8	3	3	2	+4	12
7	Piast Gliwice	9	3	3	3	+3	12
8	Wisla Plock	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	Warta Poznan	9	3	1	5	-1	10
10	Lech Poznan	9	2	3	4	+0	9
11	Cracovia	8	2	3	3	-1	9
12	Jagiellonia	9	3	0	6	-7	9
13	Zaglebie	9	2	2	5	-3	8
14	Slask Wroclaw	9	2	1	6	-3	7
15	Stal Mielec	8	1	3	4	-5	6
16	Podbeskidzie	8	0	3	5	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.