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LaLiga2

Almeria

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Valladolid

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

2,0

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,8

This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

50%

38%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

44%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,9

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

19 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 1

8 Corners 3

12 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Almeria 1. · Valladolid 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	16	12	1	3	+19	37
2	Eibar	16	9	4	3	+5	31
3	Valladolid	16	8	4	4	+7	28
4	Tenerife	16	8	3	5	+7	27
5	Las Palmas	17	7	6	4	+5	27
6	Ponferradina	16	7	5	4	+5	26
7	Malaga	17	7	5	5	-2	26
8	Oviedo	17	5	9	3	+3	24
9	Zaragoza	16	4	10	2	+2	22
10	Ibiza	16	5	7	4	-1	22
11	Sp Gijon	16	6	4	6	-1	22
12	Cartagena	16	7	1	8	-3	22
13	Girona	16	6	3	7	+0	21
14	Huesca	16	5	5	6	+1	20
15	Lugo	16	4	7	5	+0	19
16	Burgos	16	5	4	7	-3	19
17	Mirandes	17	5	4	8	-4	19
18	Sociedad B	16	4	5	7	-3	17
19	Fuenlabrada	17	3	8	6	-5	17
20	Leganes	16	3	6	7	-4	15
21	Amorebieta	17	2	7	8	-8	13
22	Alcorcon	16	2	2	12	-20	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malaga	9	7	2	0	+8	23
2	Las Palmas	9	6	2	1	+9	20
3	Almeria	7	6	1	0	+10	19
4	Eibar	8	6	1	1	+6	19
5	Valladolid	8	5	2	1	+9	17
6	Cartagena	7	5	0	2	+6	15
7	Ponferradina	8	4	3	1	+6	15
8	Sp Gijon	8	5	0	3	+2	15
9	Burgos	8	4	2	2	+5	14
10	Girona	9	4	2	3	+3	14
11	Oviedo	9	3	5	1	+3	14
12	Tenerife	7	4	1	2	+6	13
13	Lugo	8	3	3	2	+1	12
14	Fuenlabrada	9	2	5	2	+0	11
15	Ibiza	8	2	4	2	+1	10
16	Mirandes	9	3	1	5	-3	10
17	Zaragoza	8	1	6	1	+1	9
18	Amorebieta	8	2	3	3	+0	9
19	Huesca	8	2	3	3	+0	9
20	Leganes	8	1	4	3	-3	7
21	Sociedad B	8	1	3	4	-4	6
22	Alcorcon	8	1	2	5	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	9	6	0	3	+9	18
2	Tenerife	9	4	2	3	+1	14
3	Zaragoza	8	3	4	1	+1	13
4	Eibar	8	3	3	2	-1	12
5	Ibiza	8	3	3	2	-2	12
6	Huesca	8	3	2	3	+1	11
7	Sociedad B	8	3	2	3	+1	11
8	Ponferradina	8	3	2	3	-1	11
9	Valladolid	8	3	2	3	-2	11
10	Oviedo	8	2	4	2	+0	10
11	Mirandes	8	2	3	3	-1	9
12	Leganes	8	2	2	4	-1	8
13	Lugo	8	1	4	3	-1	7
14	Sp Gijon	8	1	4	3	-3	7
15	Girona	7	2	1	4	-3	7
16	Las Palmas	8	1	4	3	-4	7
17	Cartagena	9	2	1	6	-9	7
18	Fuenlabrada	8	1	3	4	-5	6
19	Burgos	8	1	2	5	-8	5
20	Amorebieta	9	0	4	5	-8	4
21	Alcorcon	8	1	0	7	-9	3
22	Malaga	8	0	3	5	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.