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LaLiga2
Referee: Dámaso Arcediano
Burgos
T T S U T
0–0
Full-time
Las Palmas
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 46%
40%
52%
Points per game
1,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 24%
24%
24%
Both score Ø 32%
28%
36%
Average goals
1,5
1,8
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
0,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
4 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 0
4 Offside 3
20 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 7. · Las Palmas 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 25 13 9 3 +15 48
2 Levante 26 12 11 3 +13 47
3 Eibar 26 13 8 5 +8 47
4 Alaves 26 13 7 6 +9 46
5 Granada 26 13 5 8 +14 44
6 Albacete 26 11 9 6 +5 42
7 Burgos 25 10 9 6 +7 39
8 Leganes 26 10 8 8 +3 38
9 Tenerife 26 8 10 8 +0 34
10 Cartagena 26 9 7 10 -1 34
11 Huesca 26 8 10 8 -1 34
12 Oviedo 26 9 7 10 -3 34
13 Villarreal B 26 9 7 10 -4 34
14 Zaragoza 26 8 9 9 +0 33
15 Andorra 26 9 5 12 +2 32
16 Sp Gijon 26 7 11 8 -2 32
17 Mirandes 26 7 9 10 -4 30
18 Santander 26 6 9 11 -5 27
19 Ponferradina 26 6 9 11 -9 27
20 Malaga 26 4 10 12 -11 22
21 Lugo 26 5 7 14 -14 22
22 Ibiza 26 4 6 16 -22 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Las Palmas
14′
🟨 Eric Curbelo
Unai Elguezabal 🟨
35′
Aitor Córdoba Querejeta 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
Álex Bermejo Escribano 🟨
50′
54′
🟨 Loren Morón
Mourad 🔁
↦ Sergio Castel
55′
Pablo Valcarce 🔁
↦ Álex Bermejo
55′
Jesús Areso 🟨
57′
64′
🔁 Marvin Park
↦ Loren Morón
Raúl Navarro 🔁
↦ Miki Muñoz
76′
Juan Artola 🔁
↦ Gaspar Campos
77′
80′
🟨 Marvin Park
86′
🔁 Óscar Clemente
↦ Alberto Moleiro
86′
🔁 F. Andone
↦ Marc Cardona
José Matos 🔁
↦ Fran García
88′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Burgos

4-3-3
13 José Caro G
19 Jesús Areso D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
21 David Goldar D
3 Fran García D
22 Miki Muñoz M
14 Unai Elgezabal M
5 Miguel Atienza M
10 Álex Bermejo F
12 Sergio Castel F
11 Gaspar Campos F
Bench (10)
9 Mourad
8 Pablo Valcarce
6 Raúl Navarro
7 Juan Artola
23 José Matos
15 Juan Hernández
1 Dani Barrio
16 Curro Sánchez
4 Míchel Zabaco
2 Borja González

Coach: Julián Calero

Las Palmas

3-5-2
13 Álvaro Vallés G
4 Álex Suárez D
23 Saúl Coco D
6 Eric Curbelo D
19 Marc Cardona M
12 E. Loiodice M
8 Fabio González M
10 Alberto Moleiro M
3 Sergi Cardona M
11 Loren Morón F
21 Jonathan Viera F
Bench (12)
2 Marvin Park
17 Óscar Clemente
16 F. Andone
24 Pejiño
25 W. Kaptoum
5 Enrique Clemente
1 Álex Domínguez
22 O. Mfulu
15 Álvaro Jiménez
30 Javier Cendón
14 Álvaro Lemos
18 Sidnei

Coach: García Pimienta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,84
U ✓
2,99
B
2,12
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,71
U2,5 ✓
1,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dámaso Arcediano · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.