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Primeira Liga

Referee: Miguel Nogueira

Portimonense

T T U T T

1–0

Full-time

Pacos Ferreira

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Pacos Ferreira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 18/19 matches

Win Ø 22%

33%

11%

Points per game

1,1

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

44%

47%

Both score Ø 38%

33%

42%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,8

0,6

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%

15 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 2

4 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Portimonense 13. · Pacos Ferreira 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	20	17	2	1	+39	53
2	Porto	19	14	3	2	+34	45
3	Sp Braga	19	14	1	4	+24	43
4	Sp Lisbon	18	11	2	5	+19	35
5	Guimaraes	19	9	3	7	-2	30
6	Casa Pia	19	9	3	7	-2	30
7	Arouca	19	7	6	6	-6	27
8	Chaves	19	6	7	6	-5	25
9	Boavista	18	7	4	7	-7	25
10	Vizela	19	7	3	9	+2	24
11	Rio Ave	18	5	6	7	-5	21
12	Famalicao	19	6	3	10	-9	21
13	Portimonense	18	6	2	10	-10	20
14	Estoril	18	5	4	9	-7	19
15	Gil Vicente	19	5	4	10	-8	19
16	Santa Clara	19	3	6	10	-11	15
17	Maritimo	19	3	4	12	-23	13
18	Pacos Ferreira	19	2	3	14	-23	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	10	9	1	0	+24	28
2	Porto	9	8	0	1	+25	24
3	Sp Lisbon	9	8	0	1	+21	24
4	Guimaraes	10	6	2	2	+4	20
5	Sp Braga	9	6	1	2	+13	19
6	Boavista	10	5	3	2	+0	18
7	Famalicao	9	5	1	3	+3	16
8	Arouca	10	5	1	4	+0	16
9	Casa Pia	10	4	2	4	+0	14
10	Vizela	9	4	1	4	+5	13
11	Rio Ave	8	4	1	3	+2	13
12	Gil Vicente	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Chaves	9	2	5	2	+0	11
14	Portimonense	9	3	2	4	-2	11
15	Santa Clara	10	2	4	4	-6	10
16	Maritimo	9	2	2	5	-4	8
17	Estoril	8	2	2	4	-5	8
18	Pacos Ferreira	11	1	2	8	-13	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	10	8	1	1	+15	25
2	Sp Braga	10	8	0	2	+11	24
3	Porto	10	6	3	1	+9	21
4	Casa Pia	9	5	1	3	-2	16
5	Chaves	10	4	2	4	-5	14
6	Sp Lisbon	9	3	2	4	-2	11
7	Estoril	10	3	2	5	-2	11
8	Vizela	10	3	2	5	-3	11
9	Arouca	9	2	5	2	-6	11
10	Guimaraes	9	3	1	5	-6	10
11	Portimonense	9	3	0	6	-8	9
12	Rio Ave	10	1	5	4	-7	8
13	Gil Vicente	9	2	1	6	-6	7
14	Boavista	8	2	1	5	-7	7
15	Santa Clara	9	1	2	6	-5	5
16	Famalicao	10	1	2	7	-12	5
17	Maritimo	10	1	2	7	-19	5
18	Pacos Ferreira	8	1	1	6	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.