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LaLiga2
Referee: Jon González
Cartagena
U S S T S
1–0
Full-time
Zaragoza
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
5,0
0,0
Scored
2,5
0,0
Conceded
2,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
7 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cartagena 10. · Zaragoza 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Albacete 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 Granada 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Ponferradina 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Alaves 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Las Palmas 2 1 1 0 +4 4
6 Sp Gijon 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 Villarreal B 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Eibar 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Burgos 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Cartagena 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Oviedo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Andorra 2 1 0 1 -2 3
13 Levante 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Zaragoza 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Tenerife 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Lugo 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Mirandes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Huesca 3 0 1 2 -2 1
19 Leganes 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Ibiza 2 0 0 2 -3 0
21 Santander 2 0 0 2 -4 0
22 Malaga 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Zaragoza
Pedro Alcalá 🟨
11′
Mikel Rico 🟨
28′
34′
🟨 Jaume Grau
37′
🟨 Manu Molina
Half-time 0–0
Isak Jansson 🟨
49′
52′
🟨 Valentín Vada
F. Feuillassier 🔁
↦ Alcalá
56′
Tejera 🔁
↦ Mikel Rico
56′
Toni Datković 🟨
58′
63′
🔁 Víctor Mollejo
↦ Sergio Bermejo
63′
🔁 R. Petrović
↦ Manu Molina
70′
🟨 Radosav Petrović
A. Sadiku 🔁
↦ I. Jansson
72′
Borja Valle 🔁
↦ Alfredo Ortuño
72′
Sangalli 🔁
↦ Tejera
74′
75′
🔁 Gaizka Larrazabal
↦ Fran Gámez
75′
🔁 J. Narváez
↦ V. Vada
79′
🟨 Jaume Grau
79′
🟥 Jaume Grau
1–0 P. De Blasis
Iván Calero
82′
Damián Musto 🟥
88′
Damián Musto ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
88′
94′
🟨 Víctor Mollejo
95′
🔁 Eugeni Valderrama
↦ Francho Serrano
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cartagena

3-4-3
1 Marc Martínez G
4 Alcalá D
5 Pablo Vázquez D
6 T. Datković D
16 Iván Calero M
17 Mikel Rico M
18 D. Musto M
20 Jairo Izquierdo M
24 I. Jansson F
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
8 P. De Blasis F
Bench (12)
14 F. Feuillassier
23 Tejera
19 A. Sadiku
10 Borja Valle
15 Sangalli
11 Óscar
28 Neskes
26 José Mari
22 Delmás
13 Aarón Escandell
7 David Ferreiro
27 Sergio Díaz

Coach: Luis Carrión

Zaragoza

4-3-3
1 C. Álvarez G
18 Fran Gámez D
6 Alejandro Francés D
3 Jair Amador D
17 Carlos Nieto D
23 Manu Molina M
5 Jaume Grau M
14 Francho Serrano M
10 Sergio Bermejo F
20 G. Simeone F
11 V. Vada F
Bench (11)
28 Víctor Mollejo
4 R. Petrović
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
7 J. Narváez
8 Eugeni Valderrama
33 Miguel Puche
21 Alberto Zapater
24 Lluís López
15 Pep Chavarría
13 Álvaro Ratón
27 Marcos Luna

Coach: Carcedo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,52
U
3,05
B
2,91
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jon González · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.