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LaLiga2

Referee: Oliver De La Fuente

Alcorcon

U U T T S

1–1

Full-time

Ferrol

T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Ferrol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 29%

33%

25%

Average goals

2,2

1,5

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

2,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

12 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alcorcon 18. · Ferrol 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zaragoza	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Espanol	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Ferrol	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Levante	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Leganes	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Tenerife	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Eldense	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Andorra	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Amorebieta	3	1	2	0	+3	5
10	Santander	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Burgos	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Mirandes	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Sp Gijon	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Villarreal B	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Elche	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Valladolid	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Eibar	3	1	0	2	-4	3
18	Alcorcon	3	1	0	2	-4	3
19	Albacete	3	0	2	1	-2	2
20	Huesca	3	0	2	1	-2	2
21	Oviedo	3	0	1	2	-2	1
22	Cartagena	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zaragoza	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Santander	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Amorebieta	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Burgos	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Villarreal B	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Levante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Elche	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Albacete	2	0	2	0	+0	2
19	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Huesca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Cartagena	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ferrol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Levante	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Eldense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Alcorcon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Andorra	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Huesca	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Amorebieta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Burgos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Cartagena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Elche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Santander	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Oviedo	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Villarreal B	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
21	Sp Gijon	2	0	0	2	-4	0
22	Eibar	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.