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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sánchez
Sp Gijon
S U S S T
2–2
Full-time
Zaragoza
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 55%
50%
60%
Points per game
1,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
40%
10%
Both score Ø 25%
30%
20%
Average goals
2,1
1,7
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
0,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
13 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
5 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 8. · Zaragoza 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tenerife 11 7 1 3 +5 22
2 Espanol 10 6 2 2 +9 20
3 Leganes 10 6 1 3 +7 19
4 Levante 10 5 4 1 +5 19
5 Zaragoza 10 6 1 3 +5 19
6 Valladolid 10 6 1 3 +4 19
7 Eibar 10 6 0 4 +3 18
8 Sp Gijon 10 5 2 3 +3 17
9 Ferrol 10 4 4 2 +0 16
10 Santander 10 4 3 3 +2 15
11 Albacete 11 4 2 5 -4 14
12 Villarreal B 10 3 4 3 +2 13
13 Oviedo 11 3 4 4 +2 13
14 Burgos 10 4 1 5 +0 13
15 Elche 10 3 3 4 -5 12
16 Mirandes 11 3 2 6 -5 11
17 Eldense 10 3 2 5 -6 11
18 Andorra 10 3 1 6 -6 10
19 Amorebieta 10 2 3 5 -1 9
20 Alcorcon 10 2 3 5 -7 9
21 Huesca 10 1 4 5 -5 7
22 Cartagena 10 1 2 7 -8 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Zaragoza
7′
🟨 Quentin Lecoeuche
Uroš Đurđević 🟨
33′
45′
Maikel Mesa 0–1
Manu Vallejo
Half-time 0–1
Juan Otero 🟨
50′
Guille Rosas 🟨
50′
Nacho Méndez 🔁
↦ Christian Rivera
56′
Enol Coto 🔁
↦ Guille Rosas
57′
57′
🔁 Toni Moya
↦ Marc Aguado
Víctor Campuzano 🔁
↦ U. Đurđević
68′
Cote 🔁
↦ Pablo García
68′
72′
🔁 Víctor Mollejo
↦ Manu Vallejo
74′
🔁 Sergio Bermejo
↦ Germán Valera
74′
🔁 S. Mouriño
↦ Jair Amador
76′
Iván Azón 0–2
Fran Gámez
Dani Queipo 🔁
↦ H. Hassan
84′
1–2 Víctor Campuzano
Cote
86′
93′
🟨 Maikel Mesa
2–2 Pablo Insua
97′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-4-2
1 Rubén Yáñez G
2 Guille Rosas D
4 Pablo Insua D
22 Rober Pier D
5 Pablo García D
21 H. Hassan M
17 Christian Rivera M
15 Roque Mesa M
7 Gaspar Campos M
23 U. Đurđević F
19 J. Otero F
Bench (12)
10 Nacho Méndez
27 Enol Coto
11 Víctor Campuzano
3 Cote
9 Dani Queipo
6 Nacho Martín
14 I. Jeraldino
13 Christian Joel
24 C. Izquierdoz
8 Fran Villalba
16 Diego Sánchez
12 J. Varane

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Zaragoza

4-1-4-1
13 G. Poussin G
18 Fran Gámez D
24 Lluís López D
3 Jair Amador D
22 Q. Lecoeuche D
8 Marc Aguado M
7 Germán Valera M
11 Maikel Mesa M
5 Jaume Grau M
19 Manu Vallejo M
9 Iván Azón F
Bench (11)
21 Toni Moya
20 Víctor Mollejo
10 Sergio Bermejo
15 S. Mouriño
26 Alberto Vaquero
35 Dani Rebollo
12 S. Bakış
38 Andrés Borge
36 Guillermo Acín
27 Marcos Luna
23 Sergi Enrich

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U ✓
2,95
B
3,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,57
U2,5
1,48
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rafael Sánchez · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.