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LaLiga2
Referee: Alejandro Quintero
Zaragoza
S U T T S
0–2
Full-time
Alcorcon
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Alcorcon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
67%
11%
Points per game
2,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
11%
44%
Both score Ø 33%
22%
44%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
0,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
15 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 1
5 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 18
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 4. · Alcorcon 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tenerife 10 7 0 3 +5 21
2 Espanol 9 6 2 1 +11 20
3 Leganes 10 6 1 3 +7 19
4 Zaragoza 9 6 1 2 +7 19
5 Levante 10 5 4 1 +5 19
6 Valladolid 10 6 1 3 +4 19
7 Eibar 10 6 0 4 +3 18
8 Sp Gijon 10 5 2 3 +3 17
9 Ferrol 10 4 4 2 +0 16
10 Santander 10 4 3 3 +2 15
11 Albacete 10 4 2 4 -1 14
12 Burgos 10 4 1 5 +0 13
13 Eldense 10 3 2 5 -6 11
14 Villarreal B 9 2 4 3 +0 10
15 Oviedo 10 2 4 4 -1 10
16 Mirandes 10 3 1 6 -5 10
17 Andorra 9 3 1 5 -5 10
18 Amorebieta 10 2 3 5 -1 9
19 Elche 9 2 3 4 -6 9
20 Huesca 10 1 4 5 -5 7
21 Alcorcon 9 1 3 5 -9 6
22 Cartagena 10 1 2 7 -8 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Alcorcon
Manu Vallejo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
13′
Manu Vallejo ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
15′
Santiago Mouriño 🟨
17′
38′
Juanma Bravo 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Alejandro Francés 🔁
↦ S. Mouriño
46′
Germán Valera 🟨
49′
51′
🟨 Christian Borrego
51′
🔁 Y. Eteki
↦ Juanma Bravo
57′
🔁 Jacobo González
↦ Chiki
57′
🔁 Álvaro Bustos
↦ Javi Lara
58′
🟨 Jesús Ruiz Suárez
58′
🔁 Javi Castro
↦ David Morillas
Marc Aguado 🔁
↦ Jaume Grau
60′
Víctor Mollejo 🔁
↦ S. Bakış
60′
Víctor Mollejo ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
64′
Sergi Enrich 🔁
↦ Q. Lecoeuche
81′
Maikel Mesa 🔁
↦ Manu Vallejo
81′
82′
Y. Eteki 0–2
Álvaro Bustos
Víctor Mollejo 🟨
85′
86′
🟨 Chema
Maikel Mesa 🟨
87′
89′
🔁 Juan Artola
↦ E. Addai
Ivan Azón Monzón 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Pedro Mosquera
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-4-2
13 G. Poussin G
18 Fran Gámez D
15 S. Mouriño D
3 Jair Amador D
22 Q. Lecoeuche D
7 Germán Valera M
21 Toni Moya M
5 Jaume Grau M
19 Manu Vallejo M
12 S. Bakış F
9 Iván Azón F
Bench (12)
6 Alejandro Francés
8 Marc Aguado
20 Víctor Mollejo
23 Sergi Enrich
11 Maikel Mesa
10 Sergio Bermejo
36 Guillermo Acín
27 Marcos Luna
35 Dani Rebollo
26 Alberto Vaquero
24 Lluís López
38 Andrés Borge

Coach: Fran Escribá

Alcorcon

3-5-2
1 Jesús Ruiz G
4 Óscar Rivas D
6 J. Babin D
23 Chema Rodríguez D
17 Víctor García M
10 Juanma Bravo M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
15 Javi Lara M
3 David Morillas M
9 Chiki F
26 E. Addai F
Bench (9)
18 Y. Eteki
8 Jacobo González
7 Álvaro Bustos
2 Javi Castro
22 Juan Artola
21 Koldo Obieta
29 Eric Callis
14 Álex López
13 Lucas Anacker

Coach: Fran Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,82
U
3,31
B ✓
4,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,40
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Quintero · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.