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LaLiga2
Referee: Mateo Busquets
Sp Gijon
S S U T T
1–0
Full-time
Zaragoza
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 28%
26%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
30%
35%
Both score Ø 41%
43%
39%
Average goals
2,1
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%
11 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Sp Gijon 15. · Zaragoza 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 24 13 7 4 +10 46
2 Las Palmas 24 12 9 3 +14 45
3 Levante 24 10 11 3 +11 41
4 Alaves 24 11 7 6 +5 40
5 Burgos 24 10 9 5 +8 39
6 Granada 24 11 5 8 +10 38
7 Albacete 23 9 9 5 +3 36
8 Leganes 24 9 7 8 +2 34
9 Cartagena 23 9 6 8 +1 33
10 Andorra 23 9 5 9 +6 32
11 Mirandes 24 7 9 8 -1 30
12 Huesca 23 7 9 7 -1 30
13 Oviedo 23 8 6 9 -3 30
14 Zaragoza 23 7 8 8 +0 29
15 Sp Gijon 23 6 10 7 -2 28
16 Villarreal B 23 7 7 9 -4 28
17 Tenerife 23 6 9 8 -2 27
18 Santander 24 6 7 11 -5 25
19 Ponferradina 24 6 7 11 -9 25
20 Malaga 24 4 9 11 -10 21
21 Lugo 23 5 6 12 -11 21
22 Ibiza 24 4 4 16 -22 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Zaragoza
1–0 Dani Queipo
Diego Sánchez
3′
7′
🟥 Tomás Alarcón
7′
ℹ️ Tomás Alarcón
VAR: Card upgrade
12′
🔁 Jaume Grau
↦ Miguel Puche
17′
🟨 Carlos Nieto
Víctor Campuzano 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–0
Pablo Insua ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
46′
46′
🔁 G. Simeone
↦ Ivan Azón
56′
🟨 Valentín Vada
58′
🟨 Jaume Grau
Cristo González 🔁
↦ Víctor Campuzano
62′
69′
🔁 Manu Molina
↦ V. Vada
69′
🔁 Alberto Zapater
↦ Francho Serrano
U. Đurđević 🔁
↦ Dani Queipo
74′
J. Carrillo 🔁
↦ Aitor García
74′
76′
🟨 Carlos Nieto
76′
🟥 Carlos Nieto
81′
🔁 G. Fuentes
↦ Víctor Mollejo
J. Varane 🔁
↦ Christian Rivera
84′
Pol Valentín 🔁
↦ Jordi Pola
84′
Cristo González 🟨
90′
95′
🟨 Jair Amador
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

3-4-3
1 Iván Cuéllar G
29 Jordi Pola D
24 C. Izquierdoz D
4 Pablo Ínsua D
2 Guille Rosas M
17 Christian Rivera M
8 Pedro Díaz M
32 Diego Sánchez M
7 Aitor García F
11 Víctor Campuzano F
30 Dani Queipo F
Bench (10)
12 Cristo González
23 U. Đurđević
20 J. Carrillo
37 J. Varane
22 Pol Valentín
21 U. Milovanović
13 Diego Mariño
38 Damián
33 Nacho Martín
9 Jony

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Zaragoza

4-4-2
1 C. Álvarez G
12 Gaizka Larrazabal D
6 Alejandro Francés D
3 Jair Amador D
17 Carlos Nieto D
7 Miguel Puche M
14 Francho Serrano M
16 T. Alarcón M
11 V. Vada M
9 Ivan Azón F
28 Víctor Mollejo F
Bench (11)
5 Jaume Grau
20 G. Simeone
23 Manu Molina
21 Alberto Zapater
2 G. Fuentes
27 Marcos Luna
8 Eugeni Valderrama
13 Álvaro Ratón
22 Carlos Vigaray
24 Lluís López
19 M. Gueye

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,56
U
2,81
B
3,11
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,85
U2,5 ✓
1,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mateo Busquets · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,44 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.