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LaLiga2
Sp Gijon
S T T S T
1–2
Full-time
Zaragoza
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 27%
32%
21%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
39%
21%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,9
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

23 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
8 Corners 5
8 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 15. · Zaragoza 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 29 17 8 4 +15 59
2 Almeria 29 18 4 7 +24 58
3 Tenerife 29 15 7 7 +19 52
4 Valladolid 28 15 7 6 +13 52
5 Ponferradina 28 13 8 7 +7 47
6 Girona 28 12 6 10 +7 42
7 Ibiza 29 10 11 8 +4 41
8 Oviedo 29 9 14 6 +4 41
9 Las Palmas 29 10 10 9 +1 40
10 Cartagena 28 12 3 13 -3 39
11 Burgos 29 11 5 13 +3 38
12 Huesca 29 9 10 10 +6 37
13 Lugo 29 7 16 6 +2 37
14 Leganes 28 9 9 10 -1 36
15 Sp Gijon 28 9 8 11 -2 35
16 Zaragoza 28 6 15 7 -6 33
17 Mirandes 29 9 6 14 -9 33
18 Malaga 28 8 8 12 -18 32
19 Amorebieta 28 4 14 10 -9 26
20 Sociedad B 29 6 8 15 -11 26
21 Fuenlabrada 29 4 14 11 -13 26
22 Alcorcon 28 2 7 19 -33 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,03
U
3,11
B ✓
3,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,44
U2,5
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.