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LaLiga2
Referee: Oliver De La Fuente
Elche
T S U S S
1–0
Full-time
Ferrol
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Ferrol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 32%
52%
12%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
39%
36%
Both score Ø 38%
39%
36%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
1,4
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
10 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 2. · Ferrol 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 34 17 11 6 +20 62
2 Elche 33 17 9 7 +19 60
3 Santander 34 17 8 9 +13 59
4 Mirandes 34 17 7 10 +15 58
5 Oviedo 34 15 10 9 +6 55
6 Huesca 34 15 9 10 +14 54
7 Almeria 34 14 11 9 +10 53
8 Granada 34 14 10 10 +10 52
9 Burgos 34 14 7 13 -4 49
10 La Coruna 34 12 12 10 +6 48
11 Cordoba 34 13 9 12 -1 48
12 Albacete 34 12 11 11 +2 47
13 Eibar 34 12 10 12 -1 46
14 Cadiz 34 11 12 11 +1 45
15 Castellon 34 11 9 14 -2 42
16 Malaga 34 9 15 10 -3 42
17 Sp Gijon 34 9 14 11 -1 41
18 Zaragoza 34 10 10 14 -3 40
19 Eldense 34 10 9 15 -12 39
20 Tenerife 34 8 7 19 -16 31
21 Ferrol 33 4 11 18 -34 23
22 Cartagena 34 4 5 25 -39 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Ferrol
1–0 Josan
N. Fernández
38′
Half-time 1–0
Agustín Álvarez ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
46′
Germán Valera 🔁
↦ Josan
58′
Pedro Bigas 🔁
↦ Bambo Diaby
59′
68′
🟨 Brais Martínez
70′
🔁 Nacho Sánchez
↦ Josué Dorrio
70′
🔁 Raúl Blanco
↦ Naim García
Óscar Plano 🔁
↦ N. Fernández
74′
M. El Ghezouani 🔁
↦ A. Álvarez
74′
Jose Salinas 🟨
76′
78′
🔁 Eneko Jauregi
↦ Álvaro Giménez
78′
🔁 Chiki
↦ Álvaro Sanz
John Donald 🔁
↦ Marc Aguado
79′
88′
🔁 Héber Pena
↦ Aitor Buñuel
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Elche

4-4-2
1 Miguel San Román G
15 Álvaro Núñez D
4 Bambo Diaby D
22 D. Affengruber D
12 José Salinas D
17 Josan M
21 N. Castro M
8 Marc Aguado M
23 Pejiño M
9 A. Álvarez F
10 N. Fernández F
Bench (12)
20 Germán Valera
6 Pedro Bigas
7 Óscar Plano
19 M. El Ghezouani
5 John Donald
3 Jairo Izquierdo
31 Gerard Hernández
2 Mario Gaspar
11 E. Rashani
30 Rodrigo Mendoza
18 S. Kaba
13 M. Dituro

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Ferrol

4-2-3-1
25 Jesús Ruiz G
22 Aitor Buñuel D
4 A. Puric D
5 Naldo D
18 Brais Martínez D
10 Josep Señé M
16 Fran Manzanara M
17 Josué Dorrio M
6 Álvaro Sanz M
2 Naim García M
20 Álvaro Giménez F
Bench (10)
11 Nacho Sánchez
21 Raúl Blanco
9 Eneko Jauregi
7 Chiki
8 Héber Pena
12 E. Insúa
14 Aitor Gelardo
1 Emilio Bernad
19 Manu Vallejo
15 David Castro

Coach: Alejandro Menéndez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,32
U
4,72
B
9,83
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Oliver De La Fuente · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.