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Ekstraklasa
Referee: J Przybył
Puszcza
T T S T T
1–1
Full-time
Rakow
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Puszcza Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 43%
23%
62%
Points per game
1,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
38%
35%
Both score Ø 41%
46%
35%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,75 xG 1,44
46% Possession 54%
19 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Puszcza 15. · Rakow 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Rakow 26 16 7 3 +23 +11.4 55
2 Lech Poznan 27 17 2 8 +26 +9.1 53
3 Jagiellonia 27 15 7 5 +16 +3.7 52
4 Pogon Szczecin 27 14 5 8 +17 +12.2 47
5 Legia 27 12 8 7 +14 +9.6 44
6 Cracovia 27 11 9 7 +7 -3.8 42
7 Gornik Zabrze 27 12 4 11 +5 +5.5 40
8 Motor Lublin 27 11 7 9 -6 +0.1 40
9 GKS Katowice 27 10 6 11 -1 -0.1 36
10 Widzew Lodz 27 10 6 11 -7 -4.0 36
11 Piast Gliwice 27 8 10 9 -2 -3.6 34
12 Radomiak Radom 27 10 4 13 -4 -0.0 34
13 Korona Kielce 27 8 9 10 -11 -1.3 33
14 Zaglebie 27 7 5 15 -18 -7.5 26
15 Puszcza 26 6 7 13 -13 -13.7 25
16 Stal Mielec 27 6 6 15 -15 +0.3 24
17 Lechia Gdansk 27 6 6 15 -19 -16.5 24
18 Slask Wroclaw 27 4 10 13 -12 -1.3 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Puszcza Rakow
7′
🟨 Stratos Svarnas
28′
Ivi López 0–1
E. Otieno
Dawid Szymonowicz 🟨
37′
Roman Yakuba 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
H. Tomalski 🔁
↦ G. Zhukov
46′
A. Klimek 🔁
↦ R. Yakuba
46′
G. Barkovskiy 🔁
↦ M. Kosidis
46′
67′
🔁 J. Díaz
↦ Ivi López
German Barkovskiy 🟨
68′
76′
🔁 Leonardo Rocha
↦ Adriano Amorim
83′
🔁 P. Makuch
↦ J. Braut Brunes
84′
🔁 P. Baráth
↦ V. Kochergin
A. Siemaszko 🔁
↦ J. Serafin
91′
1–1 G. Barkovskiy
M. Cholewiak
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Puszcza

4-2-3-1
1 K. Komar G
22 A. Crăciun D
4 D. Szymonowicz D
3 R. Yakuba D
8 P. Mroziński D
6 J. Atanasov M
14 J. Serafin M
5 K. Stępień M
88 G. Zhukov M
11 M. Cholewiak M
35 M. Kosidis F
Bench (9)
10 H. Tomalski
7 A. Klimek
63 G. Barkovskiy
9 A. Siemaszko
67 I. Revenco
31 M. Perchel
24 J. Blagaić
27 Ł. Sołowiej
18 M. Sipľak

Coach: T. Tułacz

Rakow

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trelowski G
4 S. Svarnas D
24 Z. Arsenić D
3 M. Rundić D
26 E. Otieno M
5 G. Berggren M
30 V. Kochergin M
20 Jean Carlos M
84 Adriano Amorim F
10 Ivi López F
18 J. Braut Brunes F
Bench (9)
15 J. Díaz
17 Leonardo Rocha
9 P. Makuch
23 P. Baráth
12 D. Kuciak
14 S. Plavšić
2 A. Mosór
8 B. Lederman
7 F. Tudor

Coach: M. Papszun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Przybył · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.