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LaLiga2

Referee: Salvador Lax

Almeria

T S T S T

2–1

Full-time

Ferrol

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Ferrol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

3,7

1,3

Scored

1,7

0,2

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

This season — LaLiga2 · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 28%

42%

14%

Points per game

1,6

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

64%

36%

Both score Ø 54%

75%

33%

Average goals

3,1

2,1

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

12 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 8. · Ferrol 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elche	37	19	11	7	+21	68
2	Levante	37	18	12	7	+22	66
3	Santander	37	19	9	9	+16	66
4	Mirandes	37	18	8	11	+14	62
5	Oviedo	37	17	11	9	+10	62
6	Granada	37	16	11	10	+13	59
7	Huesca	37	16	10	11	+13	58
8	Almeria	36	15	11	10	+8	56
9	Albacete	37	13	12	12	+2	51
10	Cordoba	37	13	12	12	-1	51
11	Burgos	37	14	9	14	-5	51
12	La Coruna	37	12	14	11	+5	50
13	Cadiz	37	12	13	12	+1	49
14	Eibar	37	12	13	12	-1	49
15	Sp Gijon	37	11	14	12	+1	47
16	Castellon	37	12	10	15	+0	46
17	Malaga	37	10	16	11	-3	46
18	Zaragoza	37	10	12	15	-6	42
19	Eldense	37	10	10	17	-14	40
20	Tenerife	37	8	10	19	-16	34
21	Ferrol	36	5	11	20	-37	26
22	Cartagena	37	4	5	28	-43	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mirandes	19	14	4	1	+20	46
2	Elche	19	14	3	2	+22	45
3	Levante	18	11	6	1	+20	39
4	Oviedo	19	12	3	4	+12	39
5	Santander	19	10	5	4	+15	35
6	Huesca	18	10	5	3	+13	35
7	Granada	19	9	7	3	+16	34
8	Almeria	17	9	7	1	+13	34
9	Albacete	19	9	6	4	+7	33
10	Eibar	18	9	6	3	+5	33
11	Burgos	18	9	4	5	+4	31
12	Malaga	18	8	6	4	+4	30
13	Sp Gijon	19	8	5	6	+3	29
14	Cordoba	18	7	7	4	+10	28
15	Cadiz	19	7	7	5	+3	28
16	Tenerife	19	7	6	6	+3	27
17	Castellon	18	7	4	7	+4	25
18	La Coruna	18	5	8	5	+0	23
19	Zaragoza	19	5	7	7	-1	22
20	Eldense	19	5	6	8	-6	21
21	Ferrol	18	2	7	9	-15	13
22	Cartagena	18	2	3	13	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Santander	18	9	4	5	+1	31
2	La Coruna	19	7	6	6	+5	27
3	Levante	19	7	6	6	+2	27
4	Granada	18	7	4	7	-3	25
5	Huesca	19	6	5	8	+0	23
6	Elche	18	5	8	5	-1	23
7	Oviedo	18	5	8	5	-2	23
8	Cordoba	19	6	5	8	-11	23
9	Almeria	19	6	4	9	-5	22
10	Cadiz	18	5	6	7	-2	21
11	Castellon	19	5	6	8	-4	21
12	Zaragoza	18	5	5	8	-5	20
13	Burgos	19	5	5	9	-9	20
14	Eldense	18	5	4	9	-8	19
15	Sp Gijon	18	3	9	6	-2	18
16	Albacete	18	4	6	8	-5	18
17	Mirandes	18	4	4	10	-6	16
18	Eibar	19	3	7	9	-6	16
19	Malaga	19	2	10	7	-7	16
20	Ferrol	18	3	4	11	-22	13
21	Cartagena	19	2	2	15	-28	8
22	Tenerife	18	1	4	13	-19	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.