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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sánchez
Almeria
S T S T S
5–0
Full-time
Eldense
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Eldense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,5
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 35%
43%
27%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
65%
46%
Both score Ø 63%
76%
49%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%
24 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almeria 7. · Eldense 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elche 38 20 11 7 +22 71
2 Levante 38 18 13 7 +22 67
3 Santander 37 19 9 9 +16 66
4 Mirandes 38 19 8 11 +15 65
5 Oviedo 38 18 11 9 +11 65
6 Granada 38 16 11 11 +12 59
7 Almeria 37 16 11 10 +9 59
8 Huesca 38 16 10 12 +12 58
9 Cordoba 38 14 12 12 +1 54
10 Albacete 37 13 12 12 +2 51
11 Burgos 38 14 9 15 -6 51
12 La Coruna 37 12 14 11 +5 50
13 Cadiz 38 12 13 13 -1 49
14 Malaga 38 11 16 11 -2 49
15 Eibar 38 12 13 13 -2 49
16 Sp Gijon 37 11 14 12 +1 47
17 Castellon 37 12 10 15 +0 46
18 Zaragoza 38 11 12 15 -5 45
19 Eldense 37 10 10 17 -14 40
20 Tenerife 38 8 11 19 -16 35
21 Ferrol 38 5 11 22 -39 26
22 Cartagena 37 4 5 28 -43 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Sep -24 Eldense – Almeria 1–0

Match report

Almeria Eldense
18′
🔁 Juanto
↦ Masca
Dion Lopy 🟨
25′
1–0 Léo Baptistão
Marc Pubill
35′
38′
🟨 Matia Barzić
2–0 Nico Melamed
Léo Baptistão
39′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 L. Suárez
Marc Pubill
54′
62′
🔁 S. Gassama
↦ Fede Vico
62′
🔁 Nacho Quintana
↦ Raúl Parra
Gui 🔁
↦ Gonzalo Melero
66′
L. Robertone 🔁
↦ Sergio Arribas
66′
4–0 L. Suárez
Léo Baptistão
70′
Álex Pozo 🔁
↦ Marc Pubill
72′
Arnau Puigmal 🔁
↦ Léo Baptistão
72′
79′
🔁 Iván Chapela
↦ Javi Llabrés
79′
🔁 Iván Martos
↦ D. Đumić
Silvi 🔁
↦ D. Lopy
84′
5–0 Gui
L. Suárez
89′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Almeria

4-2-3-1
13 Fernando Martínez G
18 Marc Pubill D
4 Kaiky D
3 Edgar González D
20 Álex Centelles D
8 Gonzalo Melero M
6 D. Lopy M
12 Léo Baptistão M
11 Sergio Arribas M
10 Nico Melamed M
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (11)
27 Gui
5 L. Robertone
17 Álex Pozo
2 Arnau Puigmal
23 Silvi
16 A. Radovanović
24 Bruno Langa
1 Luís Maximiano
19 M. Milovanović
36 M. Perović
28 R. Fettal

Coach: Rubi

Eldense

4-4-2
1 Dani Martín G
2 Raúl Parra D
4 D. Đumić D
26 M. Barzić D
23 Marc Mateu D
17 Víctor García M
6 Víctor Camarasa M
12 A. Diawara M
19 Fede Vico M
16 Masca F
10 Javi Llabrés F
Bench (11)
11 Juanto
22 S. Gassama
9 Nacho Quintana
20 Iván Chapela
3 Iván Martos
25 Diego Collado
24 David Timor
15 Fran Gámez
36 Álvaro Aceves
13 Ian Mackay
21 Álex Bernal

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,54
U
4,06
B
5,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,07
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rafael Sánchez · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.