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Copa del Rey

La Unión Atlético

0–2

Full-time

Ceuta

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Sant Just	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	CD Sant Jordi	3	2	0	1	-2	6
4	Puerto de Vega	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	CD Yuncos	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Deportivo Getxo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Maracena	3	1	1	1	-3	4
8	Inter de Valdemoro	3	1	1	1	-9	4
9	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
10	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	SD Negreira	3	1	0	2	+0	3
31	Manises	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Textil Escudo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
33	Los Garres	3	1	0	2	-4	3
34	Ebro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Betis Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	1
39	Universitario FC	2	0	1	1	-2	1
40	Sporting Ceuta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
41	Campanario	2	0	1	1	-2	1
42	Alberite	2	0	1	1	-4	1
43	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Lourdes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
54	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	Atletico Calatayud	2	0	0	2	-6	0
61	Atlético Melilla	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Puerto de Vega	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	CD Yuncos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	SD Negreira	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Textil Escudo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Los Garres	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Maracena	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	CD Sant Jordi	2	1	0	1	-4	3
14	Alberite	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Ebro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Deportivo Getxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Campanario	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Inter de Valdemoro	2	0	1	1	-11	1
21	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Betis Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
36	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
37	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Inter de Valdemoro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Deportivo Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Puerto de Vega	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Maracena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Universitario FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Betis Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	CD Yuncos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	SD Negreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Los Garres	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Manises	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Campanario	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Alberite	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Textil Escudo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Unión Atlético Ceuta

20′

⚽ M. Vallejo 0–1

S. Obeng

29′

⚽ M. Sanchez 0–2

C. Redruello Nimo

Half-time 0–2

D. Ruiz 🔁

↦ R. Riera

46′

K. El Kounni 🔁

↦ A. Grande

46′

D. Lozano 🔁

↦ E. Orobio

59′

Francis 🔁

↦ A. Ortiz

59′

J. Raigal 🔁

↦ M. Perez

65′

🔁 G. Almenara

↦ A. Escudero

65′

🔁 C. Rodriguez

↦ M. Sanchez

68′

🔁 Josema

↦ A. Bassinga

D. Marquez 🟨

72′

82′

🔁 K. de la Fuente

↦ M. Vallejo

82′

🔁 J. Ortuno

↦ S. Obeng

K. El Kounni 🟨

85′

🟨 G. Almenara

Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

La Unión Atlético

13 H. Oliva

22 A. Grande

16 M. Gomez

4 R. Riera

11 D. Marquez

7 Y. Davila

8 A. Ortiz

18 C. Ruiz

6 G. Bernabeu

21 E. Orobio

12 M. Perez

Bench (9)

25 D. Valle

1 A. Fernandez

20 D. Gomez

15 D. Lozano

5 D. Ruiz

14 K. El Kounni

9 Francis

23 J. Raigal

10 J. Santos Colado

Ceuta

P. Lopez

2 M. Sanchez

A. Caparros

24 Y. Cantero

C. Redruello Nimo

20 A. Escudero

A. Bassinga

Y. Bodiger

25 S. Sanchez

S. Obeng

21 M. Vallejo

Bench (9)

13 G. Vallejo

15 D. Gonzalez

5 Youness

17 G. Almenara

22 K. Kone

30 Josema

10 C. Rodriguez

18 K. de la Fuente

11 J. Ortuno

Coach: Jose Romero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

La Unión Atlético

Ceuta

Odds comparison

Recent matches