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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sanchez Lopez
Leganes
S T T S U
2–0
Full-time
Malaga
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,2
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
22%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
22%
44%
Both score Ø 39%
44%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,1
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
15 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 15. · Malaga 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Cadiz 9 5 3 1 +4 18
2 La Coruna 9 4 4 1 +8 16
3 Santander 9 5 1 3 +6 16
4 Valladolid 9 4 3 2 +4 +2.3 15
5 Las Palmas 9 4 3 2 +3 15
6 Almeria 9 4 3 2 +2 15
7 Andorra 10 4 3 3 +0 15
8 Ceuta 10 4 3 3 -2 -2.3 15
9 Huesca 9 4 1 4 -3 13
10 Burgos 9 3 3 3 +3 +3.1 12
11 Eibar 9 3 3 3 +3 12
12 Castellon 9 3 3 3 +1 12
13 Sp Gijon 9 4 0 5 -2 12
14 Cordoba 9 3 3 3 -2 12
15 Leganes 9 2 5 2 +1 11
16 Cultural Leonesa 10 3 2 5 -1 -3.1 11
17 Malaga 9 3 2 4 -1 11
18 Albacete 9 2 4 3 -2 10
19 Granada 10 2 4 4 -4 10
20 Sociedad B 9 2 3 4 -2 9
21 Mirandes 10 2 3 5 -5 9
22 Zaragoza 10 1 3 6 -11 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Malaga
1–0 D. Garcia
4′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. Jauregi
↦ E. Galilea
46′
🔁 I. Merino
↦ Chupe
N. Garcia 🔁
↦ M. de la Fuente
58′
A. Millan 🔁
↦ Duk
58′
J. Saenz 🔁
↦ Marvel
70′
O. Plano 🔁
↦ D. Garcia
70′
2–0 A. Millan
R. Pena
72′
74′
🔁 D. Brasanac
↦ R. Rodriguez
74′
🔁 J. Lobete
↦ Juanpe
83′
🔁 H. Abaida
↦ J. Munoz
G. Melero 🔁
↦ J. Cruz
88′
Naim García 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Leganes

4-4-2
1 J. Soriano G
7 R. Pena D
6 G. Aguilar Lopez D
5 I. Miquel D
2 Marvel D
10 J. Cruz M
24 A. Diawara M
8 S. Cisse M
11 Duk M
9 M. de la Fuente F
19 D. Garcia F
Bench (12)
13 M. San Roman
31 J. Garrido
3 J. Saenz
14 R. Lopez
16 G. Melero
17 N. Garcia
18 B. Pauwels
20 O. Plano
21 A. Campos
22 S. Figueredo
23 A. Millan
26 C. Guirao

Coach: Francisco José López Fernández

Malaga

4-2-3-1
1 A. Herrero G
31 Rafita
16 D. Murillo D
4 E. Galilea D
18 D. Sanchez D
22 D. Lorenzo M
8 Juanpe M
10 D. Larrubia M
37 R. Rodriguez M
11 J. Munoz M
9 Chupe F
Bench (11)
13 C. Lopez
3 C. Puga
5 D. Brasanac
7 H. Abaida
12 C. Dotor
14 V. Garcia
17 E. Jauregi
20 J. Montero
23 I. Merino
24 J. Lobete
35 A. Ochoa

Coach: Sergio Pellicer García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,21
B
4,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,28
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rafael Sanchez Lopez · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.