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LaLiga2

Referee: Eder Mallo Fernandez

Malaga

T U S S S

2–1

Full-time

Ceuta

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Ceuta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 43%

40%

45%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

55%

45%

Both score Ø 55%

60%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,75 xG 0,44

50% Possession 50%

18 Shots 3

8 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 10. · Ceuta 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	21	11	5	5	+14	+0.2	38
2	Las Palmas	21	10	8	3	+13	-0.1	38
3	Almeria	21	10	6	5	+10	+0.9	36
4	La Coruna	21	9	7	5	+11	+2.7	34
5	Castellon	20	10	4	6	+9	+3.2	34
6	Cadiz	21	9	7	5	+2	-0.8	34
7	Burgos	21	9	5	7	+5	+2.5	32
8	Ceuta	20	9	5	6	+0	-4.0	32
9	Sp Gijon	21	9	3	9	-3	+1.2	30
10	Malaga	20	8	5	7	+4	-0.8	29
11	Cordoba	20	7	8	5	+2	+0.6	29
12	Leganes	21	6	8	7	+2	+2.0	26
13	Valladolid	21	6	7	8	-2	+3.1	25
14	Andorra	21	6	7	8	-6	+1.0	25
15	Cultural Leonesa	21	7	4	10	-8	-7.8	25
16	Eibar	21	6	6	9	-3	+0.5	24
17	Albacete	21	6	6	9	-8	+1.3	24
18	Sociedad B	21	6	5	10	-2	-1.2	23
19	Huesca	20	6	5	9	-9	+1.3	23
20	Granada	20	4	9	7	-4	-0.1	21
21	Zaragoza	21	5	5	11	-14	-2.8	20
22	Mirandes	21	4	5	12	-13	-3.2	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ceuta	10	7	1	2	+6	-1.2	22
2	Eibar	11	6	3	2	+9	+4.4	21
3	Las Palmas	11	6	3	2	+9	+0.8	21
4	Santander	11	6	2	3	+10	+0.4	20
5	Almeria	10	6	2	2	+8	+2.5	20
6	Castellon	10	6	2	2	+8	+1.5	20
7	Cadiz	11	6	2	3	+3	+1.3	20
8	Malaga	10	5	4	1	+8	-0.6	19
9	Sociedad B	11	5	4	2	+5	-1.5	19
10	Sp Gijon	11	5	3	3	+1	+1.6	18
11	La Coruna	10	4	4	2	+4	+2.4	16
12	Burgos	11	4	4	3	+3	+3.1	16
13	Huesca	10	4	4	2	+1	+0.0	16
14	Cordoba	10	4	3	3	+1	-1.2	15
15	Valladolid	11	3	4	4	+2	+3.8	13
16	Andorra	10	3	4	3	+0	+1.0	13
17	Granada	10	2	5	3	+0	+2.3	11
18	Albacete	10	3	1	6	-8	-0.1	10
19	Leganes	10	2	3	5	-2	+1.9	9
20	Cultural Leonesa	10	2	3	5	-5	+0.3	9
21	Mirandes	10	2	2	6	-9	-1.5	8
22	Zaragoza	10	2	2	6	-10	+0.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	11	5	3	3	+7	+0.3	18
2	Santander	10	5	3	2	+4	-0.2	18
3	Leganes	11	4	5	2	+4	+0.1	17
4	Las Palmas	10	4	5	1	+4	-0.8	17
5	Almeria	11	4	4	3	+2	-1.6	16
6	Burgos	10	5	1	4	+2	-0.6	16
7	Cultural Leonesa	11	5	1	5	-3	-8.1	16
8	Castellon	10	4	2	4	+1	+1.7	14
9	Cordoba	10	3	5	2	+1	+1.8	14
10	Albacete	11	3	5	3	+0	+1.4	14
11	Cadiz	10	3	5	2	-1	-2.1	14
12	Zaragoza	11	3	3	5	-4	-3.1	12
13	Sp Gijon	10	4	0	6	-4	-0.3	12
14	Valladolid	10	3	3	4	-4	-0.7	12
15	Andorra	11	3	3	5	-6	+0.0	12
16	Granada	10	2	4	4	-4	-2.4	10
17	Malaga	10	3	1	6	-4	-0.2	10
18	Ceuta	10	2	4	4	-6	-2.8	10
19	Mirandes	11	2	3	6	-4	-1.7	9
20	Huesca	10	2	1	7	-10	+1.3	7
21	Sociedad B	10	1	1	8	-7	+0.3	4
22	Eibar	10	0	3	7	-12	-4.0	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.