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LaLiga2

Referee: Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban

Ceuta

U U S S T

0–3

Full-time

Valladolid

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ceuta Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 36%

43%

29%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

48%

33%

Both score Ø 48%

52%

43%

Average goals

2,4

2,1

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

21 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 6

8 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ceuta 10. · Valladolid 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	21	11	5	5	+14	+0.2	38
2	Las Palmas	21	10	8	3	+13	-0.1	38
3	Castellon	22	11	5	6	+11	+3.0	38
4	Almeria	21	10	6	5	+10	+0.9	36
5	La Coruna	21	9	7	5	+11	+2.7	34
6	Cadiz	21	9	7	5	+2	-0.8	34
7	Malaga	21	9	5	7	+5	+1.5	32
8	Burgos	21	9	5	7	+5	+2.5	32
9	Cordoba	21	8	8	5	+3	+0.6	32
10	Ceuta	21	9	5	7	-1	-6.3	32
11	Sp Gijon	21	9	3	9	-3	+1.2	30
12	Leganes	22	6	8	8	+0	+2.0	26
13	Valladolid	21	6	7	8	-2	+3.1	25
14	Andorra	21	6	7	8	-6	+1.0	25
15	Cultural Leonesa	21	7	4	10	-8	-7.8	25
16	Eibar	21	6	6	9	-3	+0.5	24
17	Albacete	21	6	6	9	-8	+1.3	24
18	Sociedad B	21	6	5	10	-2	-1.2	23
19	Huesca	21	6	5	10	-10	+1.3	23
20	Granada	21	4	10	7	-4	+0.1	22
21	Zaragoza	21	5	5	11	-14	-2.8	20
22	Mirandes	21	4	5	12	-13	-3.2	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Castellon	11	7	2	2	+10	+1.5	23
2	Malaga	11	6	4	1	+9	+1.7	22
3	Ceuta	10	7	1	2	+6	-1.2	22
4	Eibar	11	6	3	2	+9	+4.4	21
5	Las Palmas	11	6	3	2	+9	+0.8	21
6	Santander	11	6	2	3	+10	+0.4	20
7	Almeria	10	6	2	2	+8	+2.5	20
8	Cadiz	11	6	2	3	+3	+1.3	20
9	Sociedad B	11	5	4	2	+5	-1.5	19
10	Sp Gijon	11	5	3	3	+1	+1.6	18
11	La Coruna	10	4	4	2	+4	+2.4	16
12	Burgos	11	4	4	3	+3	+3.1	16
13	Huesca	11	4	4	3	+0	+0.0	16
14	Cordoba	10	4	3	3	+1	-1.2	15
15	Valladolid	11	3	4	4	+2	+3.8	13
16	Andorra	10	3	4	3	+0	+1.0	13
17	Granada	11	2	6	3	+0	+2.5	12
18	Albacete	10	3	1	6	-8	-0.1	10
19	Leganes	10	2	3	5	-2	+1.9	9
20	Cultural Leonesa	10	2	3	5	-5	+0.3	9
21	Mirandes	10	2	2	6	-9	-1.5	8
22	Zaragoza	10	2	2	6	-10	+0.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	11	5	3	3	+7	+0.3	18
2	Santander	10	5	3	2	+4	-0.2	18
3	Las Palmas	10	4	5	1	+4	-0.8	17
4	Leganes	12	4	5	3	+2	+0.1	17
5	Cordoba	11	4	5	2	+2	+1.8	17
6	Almeria	11	4	4	3	+2	-1.6	16
7	Burgos	10	5	1	4	+2	-0.6	16
8	Cultural Leonesa	11	5	1	5	-3	-8.1	16
9	Castellon	11	4	3	4	+1	+1.5	15
10	Albacete	11	3	5	3	+0	+1.4	14
11	Cadiz	10	3	5	2	-1	-2.1	14
12	Zaragoza	11	3	3	5	-4	-3.1	12
13	Sp Gijon	10	4	0	6	-4	-0.3	12
14	Valladolid	10	3	3	4	-4	-0.7	12
15	Andorra	11	3	3	5	-6	+0.0	12
16	Granada	10	2	4	4	-4	-2.4	10
17	Malaga	10	3	1	6	-4	-0.2	10
18	Ceuta	11	2	4	5	-7	-5.1	10
19	Mirandes	11	2	3	6	-4	-1.7	9
20	Huesca	10	2	1	7	-10	+1.3	7
21	Sociedad B	10	1	1	8	-7	+0.3	4
22	Eibar	10	0	3	7	-12	-4.0	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.